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半潜式起重拆解平台建造风险评估

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提出了一项包涵多数基本风险参数的整体风险评估模型,用于全面评估半潜式起重拆解平台的风险值.所应用的模型是三角模糊数、区间值毕达哥拉斯模糊(IVPFS)、优劣解距离法(TOPSIS)和灰色关联分析(GRA)的集成.将开发的IVPFS-TOPSIS-GRA应用到半潜式起重拆解平台建造风险评估的项目中:首先,应用三角模糊数获得了专家的重要性权重;其次,为避免决策者的主观性太强,提供了一种结合主观权重和基于相似度的客观权重的加权方法;再次,在区间值毕达哥拉斯模糊环境下结合TOPSIS-GRA获得已识别安全风险的最终排名.此外,进行了敏感性研究,验证所提出方法的鲁棒性和稳定性.通过对建造生产管理风险因素辨识的数据分析,得到建造生产管理风险的重点风险隐患区域:交叉作业生产管理区.结果表明,所提出的模型可以帮助专家在用模糊性和主观性语言处理的模糊环境中进行风险评估,克服了常见定量估计和定性估计的局限性.
Construction risk assessment of a semi-submersible lifting and dismantling platform
We propose a holistic risk assessment model that encompasses most of the basic risk parameters for a comprehensive assessment of the risk value of a semi-submersible lifting and dismantling platform.The applied models are the integration of trigonometric fuzzy numbers,interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy(IVPFS),pros and cons solution distance methods(TOPSIS),and grey correlation analysis(GRA).The application of the devel-oped IVPFS-TOPSIS-GRA to the project of risk assessment of the construction of semi-submersible lifting and dismantling platforms mainly involves the following work:First,the application of triangular fuzzy numbers has obtained the importance weight of experts;secondly,in order to avoid the subjective nature of decision makers,a weighting method that combines subjective weights and objective weights based on similarity is provided;third,in combination with TOPSIS-GRA in the interval-valued Pythagorean fuzzy environment,the final ranking of i-dentified security risks is obtained.In addition,sensitivity studies are conducted to verify the robustness and sta-bility of the proposed method.Through the data analysis of the identification of risk factors in construction production management,the key risk hidden areas of construction production management risks are obtained to be the cross-work production man-agement area.The results show that the proposed model can help experts to conduct risk assessment in a fuzzy environment processed with ambiguous and subjective language,overcoming the limitations of common quantita-tive and qualitative estimation.

trigonometric fuzzy numberssubjective and objective empowerment methodIVPFSTOPSIS-GRArisk assessment

王庆丰、张懿军、孙剑、王坤鹏

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江苏科技大学船舶与海洋工程学院,镇江 212100

三角模糊数 主客观赋权法 IVPFS TOPSIS-GRA 风险评估

2024

江苏科技大学学报(自然科学版)
江苏科技大学

江苏科技大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.373
ISSN:1673-4807
年,卷(期):2024.38(2)