Annual Portfolio Forecast for Infrastructure Projects of Power Grid Companies
From the perspective of the historical engineering data and the general engineering design,this paper applies three different models for the annual investment portfolio forecast for infrastructure projects of power grid companies by determining reasonable weights and combinations.In accordance with the investment plan,prediction is made on the demand for funds,as well as the deductible VAT,which provides the support for the Power Grid Companies'financial arrangements and the financial cost reduction.Based on the case study of the 110kV and above power transmission and transformation projects started and progressed in the first quarter of 2013 in a province,the forecast investment plan is calculated according to the forecast models; consequently,the funding arrangements can be reduced by 119 million RMB,substantially increasing the funding flexibility of power grid companies.
power transmission and transformation projectportfolio forecastsupport vector machinestandard cost