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计及时变故障率的电网计划检修启发式优化模型研究

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电力设备在运行中受老化、磨损等因素影响,故障率随时间具有增长效应,通常需要采用计划检修削弱或消除上述因素导致的故障率增长.本文采用二重威布尔函数描述元件故障率增长规律,推导了时变故障率下元件的平均无效度公式.通过状态枚举法和基于交流潮流最优削负荷模型对系统故障状态进行选取和最优削负荷计算,建立系统可靠性指标、系统停电成本、计划检修成本、矫正性成本与计划检修率之间的解析表达式,在此基础上推导了系统总成本对元件计划检修率的灵敏度公式,利用该灵敏度公式采用启发式迭代方式对电网各元件计划检修率进行优化.针对RBTS系统,从可靠性和经济性两个方面对优化计划检修方式和传统C级检修方式进行了对比分析,并重点研究了优化计划检修方式下电网各设备计划检修成本的优化调整规律.
Heuristic Optimization Model for Power Grid Preventive Maintenance Considering the Time-Varying Failure Rate
Power system components suffer from aging,wearing and hidden failures in operation,thus the component failure rate is increasing over time.Therefore,the preventive maintenance is required to weaken or eliminate these factors leading to the increasing of failure rate.This paper describes the growing trend of failure rate using the Weibull function and derives the average unavailability formula incorporating the time-varying failure rate.Through system state enumeration and optimal load shedding models based on AC power flow,the system failure states are selected and the corresponding minimal shedding load are calculated.Then,the analytical expressions for the system reliability indices,system outage costs,preventive maintenance costs,corrective maintenance costs incorporating the preventive maintenance rate are established,and the sensitivity of the total system cost respect to each component preventive maintenance rate is derived.Finally,this paper proposes a heuristic iterative algorithm in which the sensitivity is ranked,to find the optimal preventive maintenance.According to the studies on RBTS,it's analyzed and compared between the optimal preventive maintenance and the traditional C-level preventive maintenance from the perspective of the reliability and economy,and the cost adjustment for component preventive maintenance are studied.

time-varying failure rateplanned repaircostsensitivity

吕志盛、赵渊、万凌云、张煦、宫林

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国网重庆市电力公司电力科学研究院,重庆401123

输配电装备及系统安全与新技术国家重点实验室(重庆大学),重庆400044

时变故障率 计划检修 成本 灵敏度

国家自然科学基金输配电装备及系统安全与新技术国家重点实验室自主研究项目中央高校基本科研业务费科研专项项目重庆市自然科学基金

50977094,506070212007DA10512711208CDJZR11150012CSTC,2011BB6047

2014

华东电力
华东电力试验研究院有限公司

华东电力

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.551
ISSN:1001-9529
年,卷(期):2014.42(4)
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