首页|基于大数据的技改投资预测模型在电力行业中的应用研究

基于大数据的技改投资预测模型在电力行业中的应用研究

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大数据概念自提出以来,已经对社会经济发展的各个方面产生了巨大的影响,其价值也通过实际应用得到了证实.随着电力行业的持续发展,传统的分析方法已经难以处理日趋繁杂的电网运行数据,将大数据技术引入到电力行业成为了一种必然趋势.基于“资产墙”分析方法,利用大数据技术,对电网系统运营数据进行存储、处理和过滤,构建针对输变电一次主设备的资产墙模型.并利用依赖大数据分析方法,根据结构化与非结构化的大量信息,形成多维度评价体系,对设备预期使用寿命进行准确评估,完善“资产墙”模型,从而形成更加科学的技改投资预测方法.本模型的应用,科学评估预测未来技改项目的投资规模,实现技改项目的提前计划,提高资金支出平滑度,最大化发挥公司投资效益.
Application of Investment Forecast Model for Power Equipment Replacement Based on Big Data
Since the concept of big data was put forward,it has generated huge impacts on various walks of social economy,and its application value has already been proved.Along with the continuous development of electric power industry,the traditional analysis methods are hard to handle the increasingly complicated operating data of power grid,so the introction of big data becomes a tendency.Based on "Asset Wall" analysis method,this study uses big data technology to store,filter and process grid operation data,and builds a "Asset Wall" model for power transformation and transmission primary equipments.Besides,the model forms a multi-dimensional evaluation system based on the big data analysis method and the huge structural and unstructural information,whereby accurately forecast the equipment expected service life and replacement investment.The application of this investment forecast model could help to forecast and plan the investment scale of the future equipment replacement,and increase the fund expenditure smoothness and maximize the utilization of investment funds for the company.

big dataequipment replacementinvestment forecast

杨玺、范颖婷、殷文杰

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广东电网公司江门供电局,广东江门529000

大数据 设备技改 投资预测

2014

华东电力
华东电力试验研究院有限公司

华东电力

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.551
ISSN:1001-9529
年,卷(期):2014.42(10)
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