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基于系统动力学模型的我国电动汽车发展规模及充电负荷预测

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运用系统动力学方法建立了我国电动汽车发展规模和充电负荷预测模型,模拟仿真在不同的政策激励下我国电动汽车的未来发展规模及充电负荷,对结果进行了讨论.对我国电动汽车未来发展规模及充电功率的预测提供了一种新的思路.
EV Development Scale in China and Charging Load Forecasting Based on System Dynamics Model
In this paper,system dynamic method is adopted to establish the model for electric vehicle (EV) development scale and charging load forecasting in China.The future EV development scale and charging load were simulated under different incentive policy in China and the results were discussed.The paper provides a new way for future EV development scale and charging load forecasting in China.

fuel automobileelectric vehiclesystem dynamicscharging load forecasting

芦兴、方扬

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广东电网公司生产设备管理部,广州510600

国网运行分公司上海管理处,上海201413

燃油汽车 电动汽车 系统动力学 充电负荷预测

2014

华东电力
华东电力试验研究院有限公司

华东电力

CSTPCD
影响因子:0.551
ISSN:1001-9529
年,卷(期):2014.42(11)
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