基于系统动力学模型的我国电动汽车发展规模及充电负荷预测
EV Development Scale in China and Charging Load Forecasting Based on System Dynamics Model
芦兴 1方扬2
作者信息
- 1. 广东电网公司生产设备管理部,广州510600
- 2. 国网运行分公司上海管理处,上海201413
- 折叠
摘要
运用系统动力学方法建立了我国电动汽车发展规模和充电负荷预测模型,模拟仿真在不同的政策激励下我国电动汽车的未来发展规模及充电负荷,对结果进行了讨论.对我国电动汽车未来发展规模及充电功率的预测提供了一种新的思路.
Abstract
In this paper,system dynamic method is adopted to establish the model for electric vehicle (EV) development scale and charging load forecasting in China.The future EV development scale and charging load were simulated under different incentive policy in China and the results were discussed.The paper provides a new way for future EV development scale and charging load forecasting in China.
关键词
燃油汽车/电动汽车/系统动力学/充电负荷预测Key words
fuel automobile/electric vehicle/system dynamics/charging load forecasting引用本文复制引用
出版年
2014
NETL
NSTL
维普
万方数据