Electric Power Demand Forecast of Shanghai Based on SHCGE-SIC Model
Electric power demand forecast is an important foundation of energy forecast,power system planning and economic development forecast.This paper presents a SHCGE-SIC-based model using the scenario analysis method for Shanghai electric power demand forecast.Firstly,construct a benchmark scenario,then gradually introduce the future impacts on electricity demand by possibly implemented policies,and finally obtain the structural judgment and electric power demand forecast data using SHCGE-SIC,consistent with the macroscopic judgment.
SHCGE-SIC modelbenchmark scenarioelectric power demand forecast