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人口老龄化、数字经济与劳动密集型制造业绩效

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文章基于2011-2022年中国劳动密集型制造业微观企业数据和城市数据,考察人口老龄化与数字经济对劳动密集型制造业绩效的影响效应及其背后的机制。研究发现:人口老龄化抑制了劳动密集型制造业绩效的提升,数字经济则发挥了相反的作用即促进效应,二者的叠加效应最终对劳动密集型制造业的绩效起正向作用。异质性检验结果表明,这种叠加效应具有显著的区域异质性、城市化水平异质性及城市活力异质性。机制检验发现,人口老龄化与数字经济的叠加效应主要通过提高劳动密集型制造业的劳动者技能和数字技术水平来提升劳动密集型制造业的绩效。
Population Aging,Digital Economy,and Performance of Labor-Intensive Manufacturing
Based on micro-level enterprise data of the labor-intensive manufacturing and city data from China from 2011 to 2022,this article evaluates the impact of population aging and digital economy on the performance of the labor-intensive manufacturing,as well as the underlying mechanism.According to the research findings,the population aging hinders the improvement of performance of the labor-intensive manufacturing,while the digital economy has the opposite effect,that is,promoting effect.The combined effect of these two factors ultimately has a positive impact on the performance of the labor-intensive manufacturing.The heterogeneity test results indicate that this combined effect exhibits significant regional heterogeneity,urbanization level heterogeneity,and urban vitality heterogeneity.The mechanism examination reveals that the combined effect of population aging and digital economy primarily enhances the performance of the labor-intensive manufacturing by improving workers' skills and digital technology levels of the labor-intensive manufacturing.

population agingdigital economycombined effectperformance of labor-intensive manufacturingworkers'skillsdigital technology levels

施旭东、杨仁发

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安徽大学 创新发展战略研究院,安徽 合肥 230031

安徽大学 经济学院,安徽 合肥 230031

人口老龄化 数字经济 叠加效应 劳动密集型制造业绩效 劳动者技能 数字技术水平

2025

华东经济管理
华地地区13所经济管理院校

华东经济管理

北大核心
影响因子:0.804
ISSN:1007-5097
年,卷(期):2025.39(1)