首页|"加速器"还是"稳定器"——商贸流通业的经济生态能值计算模型研究

"加速器"还是"稳定器"——商贸流通业的经济生态能值计算模型研究

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生态经济的发展是优化环境质量,提升可持续发展能力的重要方向.如何构建商贸流通与生态经济间的宏观理论模型成为当前的研究热点.为了解决已有研究中生态经济计量指标的问题,引入能值模型测算了 2003~2022年的生态经济增长率和波动性水平,并采用Granger因果检验和BEKK-GARCH模型进行了实证分析.实证结果表明:(1)商贸流通业能够作为生态经济波动的格兰杰原因,但无法作为生态经济增长的格兰杰原因,这说明了商贸流通业作为"稳定器"而非"加速器"的经济功能.(2)在商贸流通业内部,流通型产业的"稳定器"功能更强,而商贸型企业的"稳定器"作用相对较弱.(3)从套期保值角度来看,商贸流通业对生态经济波动率的贡献率仅为26.36%,说明商贸流通业尚无法为生态经济提供全面的"保驾护航"作用.
"Accelerator"or"Stabilizer"——Study on the Calculation Model of Economic Ecological Energy Value of Commercial Circulation Industry
The development of ecological economy is an important direction to optimize environmental quality and improve the ability of sustainable development.How to construct the macroscopic theoretical model between commercial circulation and ecological economy has become a research hotspot.In order to solve the problem of ecological econometric indicators in existing studies,in this paper,the energy model to calculate the growth rate and volatility level of ecological economy from 1999 to 2018 is introduced,and adopted the Granger causality test and thebekk-garch model,an empirical analysis is made.The empirical results show that:(1)the trade circulation industry can be used as the grange reason for the fluctuation of ecological economy,but it cannot be used as the grange reason for the growth of ecological economy,which indicates the economic function of the trade circulation industry as a"stabilizer"rather than an"accelerator".(2)Within the commercial circulation industry,the"stabilizer"function of the commercial circulation industry is stronger,while the"stabilizer"function of the commercial enterprises is relatively weak.(3)From the perspective of hedging,the contribution rate of commercial circulation industry to the volatility of ecological economy is only 26.36%,indicating that commercial circulation industry is still unable to provide a comprehensive"escort"function for ecological economy.

Commercial circulationEcological economyEnergy value modelAcceleratorStabilizerGranger causality

刘亚

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安徽电子信息职业技术学院

生态经济 能值模型 加速器 稳定器 格兰杰因果

安徽省教育厅项目

2022jyxm105

2024

哈尔滨师范大学自然科学学报
哈尔滨师范大学

哈尔滨师范大学自然科学学报

影响因子:0.207
ISSN:1000-5617
年,卷(期):2024.40(2)