Empirical Analysis of the Impact of GGDP on Carbon Emissions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
GGDP(Green GDP)accounting,as a new green economy measurement system,can more accurately assess carbon emissions and change trends,and provide important support for achieving carbon peaking and carbon neutrality.Firstly,based on the characteristics of economic development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,the carbon emission data of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2007 to 2021 are selected,and the emission scale and GGDP are accounted for based on the improved GGDP accounting system of EAMFP.Combined with the STIRPAT model,the emission trend in 2022-2050 is dynamically analyzed,and the imbalance is found by Mann-Kendall test.The results point out that enhanced emission reduction can enable Beijing and Tianjin to achieve carbon peaking by 2030,while Hebei,although peaking around 2040,does not show a significant decline five years after peaking.The SVAR model confirms the correlation between GGDP and carbon emissions in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the trend of its future impact.
Dual carbon targetsCarbon emissionsGreen GDPMann-Kendall testVector autoregressionBeijing-Tianjin-Hebei region
NETL
NSTL
万方数据
