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空气污染对病毒性呼吸道疾病传播的滞后性影响

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由于空气污染对人类呼吸系统疾病的影响存在明显滞后性,因此本文建立了一类空气污染下病毒性呼吸道疾病传播的时滞模型,以探究空气污染时滞对病毒性呼吸道疾病传播的影响.定性研究发现,该模型在一定条件下会同时存在两个地方病平衡点,其中一个是不稳定的,另一个会随着时滞的增大发生稳定性切换.由此可见,时滞对系统的稳定性存在较大的影响.此外,当该系统只存在一个地方病平衡点时,将发生鞍结点分支.
The Lagging Effect of Air Pollution on the Transmission of Viral Respiratory Diseases
Since there is an obvious lag in the effect of air pollution on human respiratory diseases,this paper establishes a class of time-lag models of viral respiratory disease transmission under air pollu-tion in order to investigate the effect of air pollution time lag on the spread of viral respiratory diseases.It is found that the model will have two local disease equilibrium under certain conditions,one of which is unstable,and the other undergoes a stability switch with the increase of time lag.This shows that the time lag has a large effect on the stability of the system.In addition,saddle-node branching oc-curs when there is only one endemic equilibrium in the system.

air pollutantsair pollution time lagHopf branchingstability switchingsaddle-node branching

钱世玟、齐龙兴

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安徽大学 数学科学学院,合肥 230601

空气污染物 空气污染时滞 Hopf分支 稳定性切换 鞍结点分支

2024

合肥学院学报(综合版)
合肥学院

合肥学院学报(综合版)

影响因子:0.426
ISSN:2096-2371
年,卷(期):2024.41(5)