河海大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.52Issue(1) :1-10,69.DOI:10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.01.001

基于水光电力系统时序生产模拟模型的水光优化配比研究

Study on optimal ratio of water and light based on time-series production simulation model of hydro-optical power system

李继清 龙健 刘洋
河海大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.52Issue(1) :1-10,69.DOI:10.3876/j.issn.1000-1980.2024.01.001

基于水光电力系统时序生产模拟模型的水光优化配比研究

Study on optimal ratio of water and light based on time-series production simulation model of hydro-optical power system

李继清 1龙健 2刘洋1
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作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学水利与水电工程学院,北京 102206;华北电力大学苏州研究院,江苏苏州 215123
  • 2. 华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司,云南昆明 650214
  • 折叠

摘要

基于考虑系统负荷、新能源发电出力等时序变化特性的时序生产模拟法,建立了水光电力系统时序生产模拟模型;从系统结构性、经济性、灵活性与可靠性方面综合确定最佳水光容量配比,并通过金沙江上游川藏段水光系统验证了模型的合理性.金沙江上游川藏段光伏电站与水电站出力具有较好的年内、日内互补特性;对于2030年水平年,考虑枯期水电留存,913.6万kW水电配套400万kW光伏的方案综合性能更优,其新增非水可再生电量约60亿kW·h.

Abstract

Based on the time-series production simulation method which takes into account the time-series variation characteristics of system load and power generation output of new energy,the time-series production simulation model of hydro-optical power system is established.The optimal water-light capacity ratio is determined comprehensively from the aspects of system structure,economy,flexibility and reliability,and the rationality of the model is verified by the water-light system of the upper reaches of the Jinsha River in the Sichuan-Tibet section.The outputs of photovoltaic power stations and hydropower stations in the upper reaches of the Jinsha River are complementary within a year and within a day.For the level year of 2030,considering the retention of hydropower during dry period,the comprehensive performance of 9.136 million kW hydropower with 4 million kW photovoltaic is better,and the new non-water renewable electricity is about 6 billion kW·h.

关键词

水光互补特性/优化容量配比/时序生产模拟法/金沙江上游

Key words

water and light complementary characteristics/optimal of capacity ratio/time-series production simulation method/upper reaches of Jinsha River

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基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(52179014)

国家重点研发计划项目(2022YFC3002702-4)

中国长江三峡集团有限公司科研项目(0799244)

出版年

2024
河海大学学报(自然科学版)
河海大学

河海大学学报(自然科学版)

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.803
ISSN:1000-1980
参考文献量33
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