Prediction and Analysis of Water Resources Demand in Tunliu District Based on Quota Method
In order to further develop and improve the water resources development,utilization,conservation and protection planning in Changzhi City,rationally allocate water resources in Shanxi Province,and support the high-quality development strategy of Tunliu District,the potential of water resources development and utilization was fully discussed in combination with the classification of water resources users in Tunliu District,and the water demands of life,industry and agriculture in Tunliu District in different periods in 2025,2035 and 2050 were predicted based on the quota method,taking 2018 as the base year.Considering the water demand under different rainfall conditions,the forecast results of water demands under 50%,75%,90%and 95%precipitation frequency were put forward for agricultural irrigation,which provided a basic support for the rational development,optimal allocation,effective protection and efficient utilization of water resources in the whole region and the sustainable development of regional economy and society.The research results can provide reference for water resources supply and demand prediction,planning and allocation analysis in small and medium-sized cities in the future.