环境监测管理与技术2024,Vol.36Issue(4) :87-91.

区县域土地利用碳排放模型在上海崇明区的应用

Application of County Carbon Emission Model for Land Use in Chongming District,Shanghai

周怿 韩震 翁暄 杨瑞妮
环境监测管理与技术2024,Vol.36Issue(4) :87-91.

区县域土地利用碳排放模型在上海崇明区的应用

Application of County Carbon Emission Model for Land Use in Chongming District,Shanghai

周怿 1韩震 2翁暄 1杨瑞妮1
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作者信息

  • 1. 上海海洋大学海洋科学与生态环境学院,上海 201306
  • 2. 上海海洋大学海洋科学与生态环境学院,上海 201306;上海河口海洋测绘工程技术研究中心,上海 201306
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摘要

以上海崇明区为研究区域,在传统省域碳排放模型的基础上,提出一种区县域碳排放模型估算崇明区2015年、2017年、2019年和2021年碳排放,并利用LMDI模型分析了碳排放驱动因素.结果表明,崇明岛碳排放总体呈减少趋势,长兴岛和横沙岛碳排放呈增长趋势;经济效应对崇明区碳排放增加有正向驱动作用,结构效应和技术效应能够有效抑制碳排放,人口效应对崇明区碳排放影响较小;面向"碳中和岛""低碳岛"和"零碳岛"目标,须因地制宜采取增汇和减排措施.

Abstract

Taking Chongming District,Shanghai as the research area,a county carbon emission model was established to estimate the carbon emissions in Chongming District in 2015,2017,2019 and 2021 based on tradi-tional provincial carbon emission model,and the driving factors of carbon emissions were analyzed by LMDI mo-del.Results indicated that carbon emissions showed a decreasing trend in Chongming Island,but an increasing trend in Changxing Island and Hengsha Island.The economic effect had a positive driving effect on the increase of carbon emissions in Chongming District.The structural and technical effects effectively suppress carbon emi-ssions.The population effect had little impact on carbon emissions in Chongming District.Toward the goals of"carbon neutral island""low carbon island"and"zero carbon island",it was necessary to adopt measures to in-crease carbon sink and reduce carbon emission according to local conditions.

关键词

碳排放模型/LMDI模型/土地利用/区县域/崇明区

Key words

Carbon emission model/LMD model/Land use/County/Chongming District

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基金项目

上海市科委科研计划基金资助项目(18DZ2253900)

教育部产学合作协同育人基金资助项目(202102245031)

出版年

2024
环境监测管理与技术
江苏省环境监测中心,南京市环境监测中心站

环境监测管理与技术

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.086
ISSN:1006-2009
参考文献量14
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