Taking Chongming District,Shanghai as the research area,a county carbon emission model was established to estimate the carbon emissions in Chongming District in 2015,2017,2019 and 2021 based on tradi-tional provincial carbon emission model,and the driving factors of carbon emissions were analyzed by LMDI mo-del.Results indicated that carbon emissions showed a decreasing trend in Chongming Island,but an increasing trend in Changxing Island and Hengsha Island.The economic effect had a positive driving effect on the increase of carbon emissions in Chongming District.The structural and technical effects effectively suppress carbon emi-ssions.The population effect had little impact on carbon emissions in Chongming District.Toward the goals of"carbon neutral island""low carbon island"and"zero carbon island",it was necessary to adopt measures to in-crease carbon sink and reduce carbon emission according to local conditions.
Carbon emission modelLMD modelLand useCountyChongming District