环境监测管理与技术2024,Vol.36Issue(6) :66-71.

基于CA-Markov模型的东川区生态网络构建

Construction of Ecological Network in Dongchuan District Based on CA-Markov Model

黄杰 黄义忠
环境监测管理与技术2024,Vol.36Issue(6) :66-71.

基于CA-Markov模型的东川区生态网络构建

Construction of Ecological Network in Dongchuan District Based on CA-Markov Model

黄杰 1黄义忠1
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作者信息

  • 1. 昆明理工大学国土资源工程学院,云南 昆明 650093
  • 折叠

摘要

以昆明市东川区为研究区,利用CA-Markov模型预测东川区2030年土地利用格局,用InVEST模型评估其生态环境质量,发现2020-2030年间土地利用格局变化较小,土地利用类型以林地、草地和耕地为主,生态环境质量等级呈中部低、东西部高分布.结合形态学空间格局分析(MSPA)识别生态源地,利用最小累计阻力模型(MCR)构建东川区时序生态网络,通过对比发现2010-2030年间东川区生态网络结构变化明显.综合网络闭合指数、网络连接度指数及网络连通率对生态网络进行评价,结果表明东川区生态网络复杂程度提高,生物迁徙和能量流动限制程度降低,在未来发展中应持续进行生态保护与修复.

Abstract

Taking Dongchuan District,Kunming as the research area,the land use pattern of Dongchuan District in 2030 was predicted by CA-Markov model,and its ecological environment quality was evaluated by In-VEST model.It was found that the pattern of the land use changed little from 2020 to 2030.The land use types were mainly forestland,grassland,and cultivated land.The distribution of ecological environment quality level was low in the middle and high in the east and west.The ecological sources were identified by morphological spa-tial pattern analysis.A temporal ecological network in Dongchuan District was constructed by minimum cumula-tive resistance model(MCR).Through comparison,it was found that the ecological network structure of Dong-chuan District changed significantly from 2010 to 2030.The ecological network was evaluated by network clo-sure index,network connectivity index and network connectivity rate,the results showed that the complexity of the ecological network in Dongchuan District was increased,the restriction of biological migration and energy flow was decreased,and ecological protection and restoration should be continued in the future development.

关键词

生态网络/CA-Markov模型/土地利用格局/生态环境质量/东川区

Key words

Ecological network/CA-Markov model/Land use pattern/Ecological environment quality/Dongchuan District

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出版年

2024
环境监测管理与技术
江苏省环境监测中心,南京市环境监测中心站

环境监测管理与技术

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:1.086
ISSN:1006-2009
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