Research on the Demand Prediction and Reserve Decision Model of Wartime Aviation Spare Parts
The consumption pattern of wartime aviation spare parts is more complex than usual,and the uncertainty of their consumption is more obvious.At present,there is relatively little research on the methods of predicting and reserving wartime aviation spare parts demand in the system,which makes it difficult to provide direct and effective theoretical guidance for the collection,storage,and supply of wartime aviation spare parts,and to some extent,restricts the supply guarantee capacity of wartime aviation spare parts.Therefore,this article proposes to conduct research on wartime aviation spare parts demand prediction and reserve decision-making models.Firstly,the consumption patterns of wartime aviation spare parts were analyzed,and the influencing factors of wartime aviation spare parts demand were clarified;Secondly,based on factors such as campaign duration,aircraft deployment intensity,aircraft attendance rate,and aviation spare parts failure rate,a wartime available aircraft number prediction model,wartime aviation spare parts demand prediction model,and wartime aviation spare parts reserve decision-making model were established.The model constructed in this article basically conforms to the law of wartime aviation spare parts consumption and can basically meet the demand for aviation spare parts generated during wartime.It can provide a scientific theoretical basis for the collection,storage,and supply of aviation spare parts during wartime.The method proposed in this article has high scientific and practical value,and also has high reference value for predicting the demand for various materials during wartime.
demand predictionreserve decisionwartimeaviation spare parts
万方数据
维普
