首页|基于CMAQ源同化反演方法的京津冀局地污染源动态变化特征模拟研究

基于CMAQ源同化反演方法的京津冀局地污染源动态变化特征模拟研究

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利用“Nudging”源同化技术反演了京津冀地区2014年1、3、7、11月SO2、NOx的局地动态污染源,并分析其排放源强、特征及地理分布,对比其与初始源的差异,同时检验了反演源的模拟效果.结果表明,SO2、NOx污染源存在明显的季节变化,冬季或采暖期排放强度最大.由唐山、北京、天津、廊坊、保定、石家庄、邢台、邯郸构成东北-西南走向的带状污染物高排放区,最高排放中心主要集中在太行山、燕山山前区域,且排放具有典型的“城市化”特征,即各个城市市区及附近强度最大,周边郊县稍弱.与初始源模拟结果相比,采用反演源更能反映出污染物的时空变化特征,模拟值与实测值较接近,而且对于重污染过程亦具有较好的模拟效果.
Spatial-temporal variations of pollutant emission sources inversed by adaptive nudging scheme over Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region based on the CMAQ model
The pollutant source assimilation of nudging inversion method was applied to simulate the local sources of SO2 and NOx in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region during January,March,July and November 2014.The strengths,patterns,and geographical distribution of SO2 and NOx sources were compared with the original sources and the performance of inversed-source-based modeling was evaluated.The results showed that the sources of SO2 and NOx present obvious seasonal variations and is the strongest in winter or heating period.A high pollutant emission zone in the direction of northeast-southwest was discovered along Tangshan,Beijing,Tianjin,Langfang,Baoding,Shijiazhuang,Xingtai and Handan in the front of the Taihang and Yan mountains.The pollutant emissions exhibit a typical "urbanization" effect,i.e.SO2 and NOx sources are high in the urban area and its surroundings and weak in the rural area.Compared with the initial-emission-based modeling,the inversed-emission-based simulation could better capture the spatial-temporal variations of air pollutants,especially during high pollution periods.

Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei areaair pollutionsource assimilation inversionSO2 and NOx simulationCMAQ model

孟凯、程兴宏、徐祥德、曲晓黎、马翠平、赵玉广、李洋、杨雨灵、张文宗

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河北省环境气象中心,石家庄050021

中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室,北京100081

中国气象局大气化学重点开放实验室,北京100081

河北省气象服务中心,石家庄050021

河北省气象科学研究所,石家庄050021

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京津冀地区 空气污染 源同化反演 SO2、NOx模拟 CMAQ模式

环保公益性行业科研专项国家重点研发计划课题河北省科技计划项目河北省气象局科研项目

2014090272016YFC020330215274204D15ky21

2017

环境科学学报
中国科学院生态环境研究中心

环境科学学报

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.645
ISSN:0253-2468
年,卷(期):2017.37(1)
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