首页|2008-2020年西北地区人为源大气氨排放变化及空间分布特征

2008-2020年西北地区人为源大气氨排放变化及空间分布特征

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大气氨排放因其在大气中形成二次气溶胶的潜力而受到越来越多的关注。以陕西省、甘肃省、青海省、宁夏回族自治区、新疆维吾尔自治区等五省(自治区)为研究区域,基于10种不同氨排放源活动水平,采用排放因子法建立了西北地区2008-2020年的氨排放清单,并利用ArcGIS软件对2020年研究区的氨排放量进行1 km×1 km空间网格分配。结果表明:2008-2020年西北地区氨排放量总体比较稳定,介于1291。99×103~1525。74×103 t之间,年变化率为-2。78%~6。00%。农业源占氨排放总量的94。83%~95。21%,非农业源占4。79%~5。17%。2020年,新疆维吾尔自治区氨排放量最大,为645。39×103 t,占研究区氨排放总量的43。03%,其次为甘肃省和陕西省,贡献率分别为21。44%和16。76%。存栏的羊、出栏的肉羊和出栏的肉牛是主要贡献源,对畜禽养殖氨排放量贡献率分别为37。25%、19。22%和18。47%,尿素占氮肥施用氨排放量的97。52%。2020年,西北地区氨排放呈现显著的空间分布差异,高值区主要集中在青海省东部、宁夏回族自治区北部及甘肃省东部地区,低值区则主要位于甘肃省西部、青海省除东部以外的其他区域、新疆维吾尔自治区中东部和南部等人类活动较少的区域。在95%置信区间,2020年研究区的氨排放不确定度范围为-18。29%~20。94%,各排放源的不确定度在-18。15%~21。53%之间,其中畜禽养殖不确定度较低,为-8。80%~9。58%。
Anthropogenic ammonia emissions change and spatial distribution characteristics in Northwest Region of China during year 2008 to 2020
Ammonia(NH3)emissions have attracted increasing attention due to their potential to form secondary aerosols in the atmosphere.Taking the Northwest Region of China as the study area,which consists of five provinces(autonomous regions):Shaanxi Province,Gansu Province,Qinghai Province,Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region and Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,an ammonia emission inventory for the region during year 2008 to 2020 was constructed based on the emission activities of 10 different ammonia sources,using the emission factor method.Meanwhile,the ammonia emissions in 2020 were represented with a spatial grid distribution of 1 km×1 km using ArcGIS software.The results show that:during the study period of 2008-2020,ammonia emissions in the Northwest Region generally displayed a stable trend,ranging from 1291.99×103 to 1525.74×103 t,with an annual variation rate of-2.78%to 6.00%.Agricultural sources accounted for 94.83%to 95.21%of the total ammonia emissions,while non-agricultural sources accounted for 4.79%to 5.17%.In 2020,Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region had the largest ammonia emissions,645.39×103 t,accounting for 43.03%of the total ammonia emissions in the study area,followed by Gansu Province and Shanxi Province with emissions of 21.44%and 16.76%,respectively.Sheep,goats and beef cattle were the largest sources of ammonia emissions from livestock and poultry farming,accounting for about 37.25%,19.22%and 18.47%,respectively.Urea accounted for 97.52%of ammonia nitrogen emissions from nitrogen fertilizer application.In 2020,the spatial distribution of ammonia emissions in the Northwest Region was significantly different.High levels of ammonia emissions were mainly concentrated in the eastern part of Qinghai Province,the northern Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,and the eastern part of Gansu Province.In contrast,low levels of ammonia emissions were mainly distributed in the western part of Gansu Province,as well as in areas other than the eastern part of Qinghai Province,the middle eastern region,and the southern part of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,where human activities were less prevalent.At the 95%confidence interval,the uncertainty range in 2020 was from-18.29%to 20.94%.Each emission source was between-18.15%and 21.53%,with the uncertainty in livestock and poultry farming ranging from-8.80%to 9.58%.

Northwest Region of Chinaammonia emissions inventoryinterannual variationspatial distributionuncertainty analysis

方利江、王智慧、余朝毅、虞丹君、王文娟、叶观琼、柴小平

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舟山市生态环境保护技术中心,舟山 316000

浙江省海洋生态环境监测中心,舟山 316021

浙江大学海洋学院,舟山 316000

西北地区 氨排放清单 年际变化 空间分布 不确定性分析

2025

环境科学学报
中国科学院生态环境研究中心

环境科学学报

北大核心
影响因子:1.645
ISSN:0253-2468
年,卷(期):2025.45(1)