首页|基于随机森林探究2022年江苏省O3与气象因子关系

基于随机森林探究2022年江苏省O3与气象因子关系

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选取 2022 年江苏省区县小时空气质量数据和ERA5 气象数据,基于随机森林模型特征重要性排序,探究江苏省O3 与气象因子之间的关系.结果表明:1)2022 年,江苏省O3 浓度冬秋季较低,春夏季较高;全年情景下和O3 污染高发期(4-9 月)气象因子占比较高,O3 污染高发期气象因子占比为 70.1%.2)msdwswrf对O3 浓度影响程度最高,能够解释 32%的O3 浓度.影响因子两两交互,均比单一因子对O3 浓度的影响大,rh-msdwswrf影响最大,能够解释 40.5%.3)O3 与气象因子的关系存在空间异质性,同一气象因子对不同区域O3 浓度空间分布的影响力度存在区域差异.
Exploring the relationship between O3 and meteorological factors in Jiangsu Province in 2022 based on random forest
Selecting the hourly air quality data of counties in Jiangsu Province in 2022 and ERA5 meteorological data,the relationship between O3 and meteorological factors in Jiangsu Province is explored based on the feature importance ranking of the random forest model.The results show that:1)In 2022,the O3 concentration in Jiangsu Province is lower in winter and autumn and higher in spring and summer.Meteorological factors account for a higher proportion in the whole year and the high O3 pollution period(April to September),with meteorological factors accounting for 70.1%during the high O3 pollution period.2)The influence of msdwswrf on O3 concentration is the highest,explaining 32%of the O3 concentration.The interaction between influencing factors is greater than the influence of a single factor on O3 concentration,with rh-msdwswrf having the largest influence,explaining 40.5%.3)There is spatial heterogeneity in the relationship between O3 and meteorological factors,and the influence of the same meteorological factor on the spatial distribution of O3 concentration in different regions varies.

O3meteorological factorsrandom forest

陆维青、高冬冬

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江苏省环境监测中心,江苏 南京 210019

北京英视睿达科技股份有限公司,北京 100000

O3 气象因子 随机森林

国家自然科学基金

41975154

2024

环境生态学

环境生态学

CSTPCD
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.6(2)
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