首页|基于投入-产出模型的海南省隐含碳排放研究

基于投入-产出模型的海南省隐含碳排放研究

扫码查看
本研究基于2007年、2012年及2017年海南省投入产出表及相应的能源消费数据,利用非竞争投入-产出模型对海南省26个部门的隐含碳排放进行估算,并对其碳排放强度进行了分析.研究结果表明:1)2007-2017年海南省直接碳排放量呈不断上升趋势,由2 602万t增长到4 761万t,年增长率达到5.16%,其中,服务业及其他,电力、热力的生产和供应,化学产品,交通运输、仓储和邮政,造纸印刷和文教体育用品部门是主要碳排放源.2)海南省的大部分部门(19个)在对外贸易和国内贸易中均存在碳逆差现象.海南省通过调入碳排放强度较高的产品(例如金属冶炼和压延加工品和金属制品等),以及调出碳排放强度较低的产品(如农林牧渔产品,建筑,交通运输、仓储和邮政部门产品等),在贸易中获得了环境收益.通过这种方式,海南省2017年将4 097万t碳排放转移至其他地区.3)在2007-2017年间,海南省产业部门直接碳排放强度和隐含碳排放强度均显著下降,直接碳排放强度从0.7 t/万元下降到0.38 t/万元,隐含碳排放强度从1.36 t/万元下降到0.63 t/万元.此外,具有高隐含碳排放强度(超过1.5 t/万元)的部门数量也从13个减少到4个.
Embodied carbon emissions in Hainan Province based on input-output model
Utilizing the input-output tables and corresponding energy consumption data from Hainan Province in the years of 2007,2012,and 2017,the non-competitive input-output model was used to estimate the embodied carbon emissions of 26 sectors in Hainan Province,and analyzes the carbon emission intensity.The outcomes revealed that:1)From 2007 to 2017,the direct carbon emissions of Hainan Province surged from 26.02 million tons to 47.61 million tons,representing an annual growth rate of 5.16%.The main sources of carbon emissions are the service industry,production and supply of electric power and thermal energy,chemical industry,transportation and storage,postal & telecommunications services,paper printing and cultural,educational and sports articles.2)Most sectors ran into carbon deficits in both foreign and domestic commerce.Hainan Province gains environmental benefits from trade by importing products with high carbon emission intensity such as smelting and pressing of metals and metal products,and exporting low-carbon products like farming,forestry,animal husbandry,fishery & water conservancy,construction,transport,storage,postal &telecommunications services.In 2017,this province facilitated the transfer of 40.97 million tons of carbon to other regions via trade.3)Over the decade spanning from 2007 to 2017,both direct and embodied carbon emission intensity of industrial sectors in Hainan Province decreased significantly,with direct carbon emission intensity decreasing from 0.7 tons/CNY 10 000 to 0.38 tons/CNY 10 000 and embodied carbon emission intensity decreasing from 1.36 tons/CNY 10 000 to 0.63 tons/CNY 10 000.In addition,the number of sectors with high embodied carbon intensity(greater than 1.5 tons/CNY 10 000)shrank from 13 to 4.

Input-output modelembodied carbonimport and export tradeHainan Province

张晴、吴娟、黄华坚、周劲风

展开 >

中山大学环境科学与工程学院,广东 广州 510006

广东中科环境科技发展有限公司,广东 广州 510260

投入-产出模型 隐含碳 进出口贸易 海南省

2024

环境生态学

环境生态学

CSTPCD
ISSN:
年,卷(期):2024.6(12)