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基于MLP集成随机子空间决策树的航空发动机剩余使用寿命预测

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为了预测航空发动机的剩余使用寿命(RUL),针对从众多发动机状态参数中选择特定特征组合进行预测的问题,构建了基于多层感知器(MLP)集成随机子空间决策树的剩余寿命预测模型;随机选取抽样样本的特征子空间构建决策回归树;构建MLP模型结构和损失函数,通过适应性矩估计(Adam)算法优化MLP模型参数,基于MLP模型集成多棵决策树的预测结果,得到发动机的剩余使用寿命;在C-MAPSS数据集上进行的消融试验验证了预测模型中随机特征子空间、决策回归树和MLP集成模块均有益于改善平均绝对误差(MAE)、均方根误差(RMSE)、惩罚得分、拟合优度以及准确率等预测指标值.结果表明:当真实剩余寿命周期小于30时,预测准确率比循环神经网络(RNN)的预测结果提高了7.46%;与其他几种预测方法相比,该方法在多个指标综合评价下具有较好的性能,为多参数航空发动机剩余寿命的预测提供了一种有效方案.
Remaining Useful Life Prediction of Aeroengines Based on MLP Integrated Random Subspace Decision Trees
To predict the Remaining Useful Life(RUL)of aeroengines,a prediction model based on the integration of Multi-Layer Perceptron(MLP)with random subspace decision trees was constructed to address the issue of selecting a specific feature combination from numerous engine state parameters.This model randomly selects feature subspaces from sampled data to build decision regression trees.The MLP model structure and loss function were established,and the parameters of the MLP model were optimized using the Adaptive Moment Estimation(Adam)algorithm.By integrating the prediction results from multiple decision trees based on the MLP model,the RUL of the engine is obtained.Ablation experiments conducted on the C-MAPSS dataset demonstrate that the random feature subspaces,decision regression trees,and MLP integration modules in the prediction model all contribute to improving prediction metrics such as Mean Absolute Error(MAE),Root Mean Square Error(RMSE),Penalty Score,Goodness of Fit and Accuracy.The results show that when the true RUL cycle is less than 30,the prediction accuracy is improved by 7.46%compared to the predictions from Recurrent Neural Networks(RNN).Compared with other prediction methods,this method exhibits better performance under comprehensive evaluations across multiple metrics,providing an effective solution for multi-parameter prediction of the RUL of aeroengines.

remaining useful life predictionaeroenginerandom subspacedecision treeintegrated methodmulti-layer perceptron

陈俊英、席月芸、徐琳、殷春武

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西安建筑科技大学 信息与控制工程学院,西安 710055

剩余使用寿命预测 航空发动机 随机子空间 决策树 集成方法 多层感知器

2024

航空发动机
中国工业沈阳发动机设计研究所

航空发动机

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.586
ISSN:1672-3147
年,卷(期):2024.50(6)