核应急航空辐射监测能力量化评估模型
The Quantitative Evaluation Model of the Nuclear Emergency Aviation Radiation Monitoring Capability
孟凡兴 1杨明 1王浩然 1宋振涛 1张文峰 1杨金政 1王永军1
作者信息
- 1. 核工业航测遥感中心,河北 石家庄 050002;中核核应急航空监测工程技术研究中心,河北 石家庄 050002
- 折叠
摘要
为了更好地解决核应急救援航空辐射监测队伍能力评估指标中的不确定性、提高核应急航空辐射监测能力评估准确性,在构建评估指标体系的基础上,将层次分析法(AHP)与模糊综合评价法(FCE)有机结合,建立核应急航空辐射监测能力评估模型.该模型根据核应急航空辐射监测队伍应急准备、应急响应、应急救援、总结分析情况,综合各要素关键评估内容,形成了以核应急航空辐射监测能力为总目标,下设 4 项一级指标和 16 项二级指标的核应急航空辐射监测能力量化评估模型;通过AHP法计算指标权重,采用FCE法计算综合得分,实现对核应急航空辐射监测能力的综合量化评估.通过实例验证表明,AHP-FCE模型具有良好的适应性与合理性,为核应急救援航空辐射监测队伍能力评估提供参考.
Abstract
In order to better solve the uncertainty in the capability evaluation index of nuclear emergency rescue aviation radiation monitoring team and improve the evaluation accuracy of nuclear emergency aviation radiation monitoring capability,the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method(FCE)were organically combined to establish the nuclear emergency aviation radiation monitoring capability evaluation model,based on the construction of the evaluation index system.According to the emergency preparedness,emergency response,emergency rescue,summary and analysis of the nuclear emergency aviation radiation monitoring team,the model has formed a quantitative evaluation model with the nuclear emergency aviation radiation monitoring capability as the overall objective,with 4 first-level indicators and 16 second-level indicators.The index weight was assigned by the analytic hierarchy process(AHP),and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method(FCE)was used for calculation and ranking,so as to realize the comprehensive evaluation of the nuclear emergency aviation radiation monitoring capability.Through the example verification,the AHP-FCE model has good adaptability and rationality,which can provide reference for the capability evaluation of the aviation radiation monitoring team in nuclear emergency rescue.
关键词
层次分析法(AHP)/模糊综合评价法(FCE)/监测能力/量化评估Key words
AHP/FCE/Monitoring capability/Quantitative assessment引用本文复制引用
基金项目
国防科工局"十三五"核能开发科研项目(科工二司[2020]1192号)
出版年
2024
NETL
NSTL
万方数据