首页|贵州省能源消费与经济增长关系的实证分析

贵州省能源消费与经济增长关系的实证分析

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能源是影响经济增长的战略性因素,能源的发展深深地影响着经济总量的增加以及经济增长速度.本文以贵州省1978年至2021年的相关数据作为样本,进行单位根检验、协整检验以及格兰杰因果关系检验,并使用其他方法对样本进行实证研究.研究结果表明,贵州省的经济增长是贵州省能源消费增长的主要原因,二者是相辅相成的.误差校正模型(ECM)解释了该序列的短期波动关系.最后,根据研究结果,结合贵州省的实际情况对贵州省能源发展给出相关的对策建议.
Empirical study on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth
Energy is a strategic factor that affects economic growth,deeply influencing the increase in economic aggregates and the rate of economic growth.This paper uses relevant data from Guizhou province from 1978 to 2021 as a sample,conducting unit root tests,cointegration tests,and Granger causality tests,as well as employing other methods for empirical research on the sample data.The results indicate that the economic growth of Guizhou province is the Granger cause of the increase in energy consumption in Guizhou province,and there is a cointegration relationship between the two.The error correction model(ECM)explains the short-term fluctuation relationship of the series.Finally,based on the research findings,combined with the actual situation of Guizhou province,relevant strategies and suggestions for Guizhou province's energy development are proposed.

cointegration modelenergy consumptionGranger causality testeconomic growth

胡珊、张文专

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贵州财经大学,贵阳 550000

协整模型 能源消费 格兰杰因果检验 经济增长

2025

黑龙江环境通报
国家环保局信息所齐齐哈尔市环境监测中心

黑龙江环境通报

影响因子:0.138
ISSN:1674-263X
年,卷(期):2025.38(1)