科学技术创新2024,Issue(8) :216-220.

基于趋势外推法的分布式光纤测温系统的温度预测

Temperature Prediction of Distributed Fiber Optic Systems Based on Trend Extrapolation Method

刘成柱 郑宇斌 杨展 邓琴 施春龙 张聪慧
科学技术创新2024,Issue(8) :216-220.

基于趋势外推法的分布式光纤测温系统的温度预测

Temperature Prediction of Distributed Fiber Optic Systems Based on Trend Extrapolation Method

刘成柱 1郑宇斌 2杨展 1邓琴 1施春龙 1张聪慧1
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作者信息

  • 1. 浙江浙能中煤舟山煤电有限责任公司,浙江舟山
  • 2. 浙江大学湖州研究院,浙江湖州
  • 折叠

摘要

分布式测温传感器被广泛运用于温度监测.本文以此为背景,提出了一种具有温度监测和温度预测功能的分布式光纤系统.在实现温度监测的同时,建立了一种基于机器学习的趋势外推模型,通过不断更新的历史数据来预测未来温度.实验模拟了一般火灾的温度变化并进行预测.结果表明,当采样时间为5 s,预测1 min后的温度时,预测误差最大值为2.88℃,均方误差为0.958℃,说明模型准确度较高,对工程实践具有一定的参考价值.

Abstract

Distributed temperature sensors are widely used for temperature monitoring.Based on the background,this article proposes a distributed fiber optic system with temperature monitoring and prediction functions.While implementing temperature monitoring,a trend extrapolation model based on machine learning has been established to predict future temperatures through continuously updated historical data.The experiment simulated the temperature changes of general fires and made predictions.The results show that when the sampling time is 5 seconds and the temperature is predicted after 1 minute,the maximum prediction error is 2.88 ℃,and the MSE is 0.958 ℃,indicating that the model has high accuracy and has certain reference value for engineering practice.

关键词

光纤测温/趋势外推法/机器学习/多项式拟合

Key words

optical fiber temperature measuring/trend extrapolation method/machine learning/polynomial fitting

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出版年

2024
科学技术创新
黑龙江省科普事业中心

科学技术创新

影响因子:0.842
ISSN:1673-1328
参考文献量8
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