Construction of Tennis Match Result Prediction Model
Based on Question C of the 2024 American College Students Mathematical Contest in Modeling and the data of the 2023 Wimbledon Men's tennis final,this paper constructs and applies the competition excellence model and fluctuation model,aiming to provide more accurate training and competition strategies for athletes and coaches.Firstly,the momentum is quantified by establishing a competition excellence model,and the robustness of the model is verified.Secondly,a game fluctuation model is established to simulate the players'mental state,and the accuracy rate of the model is 72.9%,and the reasons why the accuracy rate does not reach the ideal state are analyzed,and the corresponding suggestions are put forward.Finally,the model is generalized and the feasibility of applying it to other competitions is discussed.
tennisSelectKBest modelrun testAdaboost modelGBDT model