Scenario Evolution Analysis of Urban Earthquake Secondary Disasters Based on Bayesian Network
Earthquake is one of the most significant natural disasters in the world,and the secondary dis-asters caused by earthquakes in urban areas can result in huge losses.By analyzing 16 typical earthquake cases worldwide from 2008 to 2023,a Bayesian network model was constructed in Netica software,with seis-mic intensity,emergency response,and secondary disasters as key nodes.The results demonstrate that this model assists emergency management departments in understanding the evolution path of sudden events and the primary influencing factors.It can promptly guide effective actions,minimize losses,and save more lives and property.