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装配式建筑全过程成本风险评价研究

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从成本风险评价和控制策略角度出发,对装配式建筑全过程成本风险进了调研,初步识别了4 个一级和33 个二级装配式建筑项目全过程成本风险影响因素,通过问卷调查、数据处理,使用理论分析法分析对这些因素进行了筛选,建立了评价指标体系。采用层次分析法和熵权法组合进行了权重确定,建立了成本风险模糊综合评价模型进行评价。将模型应用到实际项目中,评价了项目在各阶段成本控制中存在的风险等级,针对各风险评价结果提出了相应的风险控制措施。
Study on risk assessment of process cost of prefabricated building
This paper investigated the prefabricated building process cost risk,four primary and 33 secondary prefabricated building projects were preliminarily identified as influencing factors of the whole process cost risk,and these factors were screened through questionnaires,data processing and theoretical analysis,the evaluation index system was established.The combination of analytic hierarchy process(AHP-RRB-and entropy weight method)was used to determine the weight,and the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of cost and risk was established for evaluation.The model was applied to the actual project,and the risk level of the project in each stage of cost control was evaluated.

prefabricated buildingtotal process costrisk assessmentcombination weightingfuzzy comprehensive evaluationrisk control

郭海滨、张存存

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青岛理工大学 管理工程学院,山东 青岛 266000

装配式建筑 全过程成本 风险评价 组合赋权 模糊综合评价 风险控制

2024

哈尔滨商业大学学报(自然科学版)
哈尔滨商业大学

哈尔滨商业大学学报(自然科学版)

影响因子:0.405
ISSN:1672-0946
年,卷(期):2024.40(5)