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西南地区暴雨时空分布特征分析

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利用西南地区102个气象站1961~2010年逐日降水资料,采用趋势分析、M ann-Kendall 突变检验、小波分析等方法分析了50 a西南地区的暴雨时空分布特征。结果表明:时间上,西南地区极端暴雨降水事件各个指标均呈现增加的变化趋势,突变主要发生在1986年前后,该地区年平均暴雨存在4个变化的周期;空间上,年均暴雨频次在暴雨量空间上呈现由西北向东南增加的趋势,暴雨频次及暴雨量较高的地区集中在广西地区,而四川西部及云南大部分地区暴雨频次较小。
Spatial and temporal distribution characteristic in the southwest
Based on the daily precipitation data of 102 meteorological stations in the southwest China from 1961 to 2010 ,some methodologies were used ,such as trend analyses method ,Mann-Kendall test method and wavelet analysis method , to analyze the spatial and temporal characteristic of rainstorm in the southwest during 50 years .It is showed that each indicator of extreme rainstorm events in the southwest presented an increasing trend from 1961 ~ 2010 , during which there were 4 variation periods . And mutation occurred around 1986 .The frequency of annual average rainstorm presented an increasing trend from northwest to southeast .Higher frequency of rainstorm was detected in the Guangxi while the lower frequency of rainstorm was detected in the west of Sichuan and most parts of Yunnan .

southwestrainstormspatial and temporal distributioncharacter

李芸、穆文彬

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大庆水文局,黑龙江 大庆 163316

中国水利水电科学研究院 流域与水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京100038

河海大学 水文水资源学院,南京 210098

西南地区 暴雨 时空分布 特征

2014

黑龙江大学工程学报
黑龙江大学

黑龙江大学工程学报

影响因子:0.358
ISSN:2095-008X
年,卷(期):2014.(2)
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