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老年住院患者复合跌倒风险评分表的构建及应用研究

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目的 构建老年住院患者复合跌倒风险评分表,提高老年住院患者跌倒风险评估准确性.方法 整合约翰霍普金斯跌倒评定量表和Hendrich Ⅱ跌倒风险模型作为初始条目;采用前瞻性研究,收集42 490例老年住院患者跌倒发生情况及相关风险因素,通过x2检验和logistic 回归分析确定跌倒的影响因素,构建老年住院患者复合跌倒风险评分表.将复合跌倒风险评分表在1 663例老年住院患者中进行验证.结果 logistic 回归分析得到18 项危险因素,将各危险因素的风险比值比(OR)进行赋值,总分为100分.验证结果显示,老年住院患者复合跌倒风险评分表的ROC 曲线下面积为0.825(95%CI:0.798~0.852),最佳截断值为7.5 分,灵敏度为0.736,特异度为0.771.结论 老年住院患者复合跌倒风险评分表能有效预测老年住院患者的跌倒风险,有助于临床护理人员及时筛查出高危患者,从而进行有针对性的预防干预.
Development and application of a combined fall risk assessment scale for older inpa-tients
Objective To develop a fall risk assessment scale for older inpatients,and to promote assessment accuracy.Methods We integrated the Johns Hopkins Fall Risk Assessment Tool and Hendrich Ⅱ Fall Risk Model.Then a prospective observational study was performed among 42 490 older inpatients.Incidence of falls and the related factors were collected.Potential risk factors were identified through chi-square test and logistic regression analysis for the development of a combined risk assessment scale.At last,the scale was validated in 1 663 older inpatients.Results Logistic regression analysis identified 18 risk factors,then value of each risk factor was assigned based on the odds ratio,with a total score of 100.Validation results indicated that the area under the ROC curve for the combined fall risk assessment scale was 0.825(95%CI:0.798-0.852).The optimal cutoff value was 7.5 points,with a sensitivity of 0.736 and specificity of 0.771.Conclusion The combined fall risk assessment scale for older inpatients can ef-fectively predict fall risk of elderly inpatients,and help nurses to identify the high-risk patient,so as to provide targeted interven-tions.

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韩清波、钟媛、张巧玲、彭威、廖建红

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赣南医学院第一附属医院护理部(江西赣州,341000)

老年人 住院患者 跌倒 失禁 风险因素 评估工具 灵敏度 特异度

江西省卫生健康委科技项目

202110076

2024

护理学杂志
华中科技大学同济医学院

护理学杂志

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:2.062
ISSN:1001-4152
年,卷(期):2024.39(1)
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