首页|制导武器命中精度估计方法与检验方法一致性研究

制导武器命中精度估计方法与检验方法一致性研究

扫码查看
针对制导武器命中精度估计方法和检验方法存在的联系以及原理性差异,对两种命中精度评定方法的一致性进行了研究。从双方风险角度研究了小子样条件对命中精度点估计和区间估计方法的影响,明确了提升命中精度评定准确性的手段;在分析命中精度指标与检验方法关系基础上,通过将双方风险与区间上界估计方法进行比较,明确了命中精度指标为备择假设的检验方法;从双方风险层面进一步分析了区间估计方法与检验方法的一致性。结果表明:对于区间估计方法和检验方法,通过合理调整置信水平参数和检出比参数,能够实现两种方法双方风险的一致性,但两种评定方法理论基础不同,进行精度评定会存在评定结论不一致的现象,该现象出现概率与制导武器自身精度有关。
Research on the Consistency of Evaluation Method and Test Method for Guided Weapon Hit Accuracy
In view of the relationship and the principle difference between the evaluation methods and test method of guided weapon hit accuracy,the consistency of the two assessment methods of hit accuracy is studied.Firstly,the influence of small sample conditions on the risks of users and developers of point estimation and interval estimation method is studied,and the means to improve the accuracy of hit accuracy assessment is clarified.Then,based on the analysis of the relationship between hit accuracy index and test method,it is clear the hit accuracy index is alternative hypothesis of test methond through the risk comparison with the upper bound interval evaluation method.The consistency of interval estimation method and test method is further analyzed from the risk level of both sides.The results show that the risk consistency between the interval estimation and test method can be achieved by reasonably adjusting the parameters of confidence level and detection ratio;But there will be inconsistency in accuracy assessment result due to different theoretical basis of two methods,and the probability of inconsistency is related to the development level of guided weapon.

hit accuracycircle error probableinterval estimationaccuracy testconsistency analysis

刘文超、李大伟、郑小兵、李曦

展开 >

解放军91550部队,辽宁 大连 116084

命中精度 圆概率误差 区间估计 精度检验 一致性分析

2024

火力与指挥控制
火力与指挥控制研究会,火力与指挥控制专业情报网

火力与指挥控制

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.312
ISSN:1002-0640
年,卷(期):2024.49(2)
  • 17