首页|基于可解释随机森林的场地放大系数估算方法研究

基于可解释随机森林的场地放大系数估算方法研究

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场地放大系数(Fpga)是反映地震动峰值在不同地区的差异,也是评估地震动影响范围的关键参数.Fpga的估算采用单一参数,靠经验选取,估算结果存在较强的主观性.为此,选取KiK-net台网40个台站的地震记录,基于随机森林算法提出一种综合多参数的Fpga估算方法,且可解释各参数对Fpga估算的影响.所提估算方法以震级、震中距、震源深度、震源距、覆盖层厚度h、场地周期T、等效剪切波速(VSE、VS30、VS20、VS10)作为输入,Fpga为输出.结果表明:预测Fpga的相关系数为0.84,误差均值为0.01;震中距、震源深度、震源距对Fpga估算呈正相关,震级、h、T、VSE、VS30、VS20、VS10对Fpga估算呈负相关,其中T和h对模型的影响最大.该模型可有效预测场地放大效应.
Estimation method of site amplification factor based on interpretable random forest
The site amplification factor(Fpga)is a key parameter to reflect the difference of ground shaking peaks in different areas and to assess the impact range of ground shaking.The estimation of Fpga generally a-dopts a single parameter and is selected by experience,which makes the estimation results subjective.For this reason,40 stations of the KiK-net network are selected,and a comprehensive multi-parameter Fpga estimation method is proposed based on the Random Forest algorithm,which can explain the influence of each parameter on the estimation of Fpga.The method takes the magnitude,epicenter distance,epicenter depth,hypocentral dis-tance,overburden thickness h,site period T,and equivalent shear wave speeds VSE,VS30,VS20,and VS10 as the inputs,and Fpga as the output.Test results show that the correlation coefficient of the predicted Fpga is 0.84,and the mean value of the error is 0.01;the epicenter distance,epicenter depth,and hypocentral distance are posi-tively correlated with the estimated Fpga,and the magnitude,h,T,VSE,VS30,VS20,and VS10 are negatively correla-ted,with T and h contributing most to the model.The model can effectively predict the site amplification effect.

estimation methodsite amplification factorrandom forestinterpretability

王郭艳、林建平、王阳

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桂林理工大学土木工程学院,广西桂林 541004

桂林理工大学广西岩土力学与工程重点实验室,广西桂林 541004

估算方法 场地放大系数 随机森林 可解释性

广西自然科学基金

2022JJA160119

2024

河南城建学院学报
河南城建学院

河南城建学院学报

影响因子:0.457
ISSN:1674-7046
年,卷(期):2024.33(3)