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山东省城市可持续水平的时空分异与障碍因素

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响应联合国可持续城市和人类住区建设目标,在阐明可持续城市内涵构成的基础上,构建融合韧性、安全、可持续和包容4个维度的评价函数,采用熵权-TOPSIS、核密度估计和障碍度模型等方法研究山东省城市可持续水平的时空分异与障碍因素.研究发现,2011-2020年,山东省城市可持续水平呈上升趋势,但总体水平仍然不高,城市之间的差距在缩小,空间格局呈现东部高、西部低,北部高、南部低的特征.从准则层来看,包容性和安全性是制约山东省城市可持续水平提高的主要障碍因素,且包容性对可持续水平的阻碍作用有所减弱,安全性的阻碍作用有所增强.从指标层来看,排在前5位的障碍因素依次是火灾事故造成直接经济损失占GDP比重、每万人国际互联网用户数、每万人在校中等职业学生数、交通事故造成直接经济损失占GDP比重和家庭集中供热面积.
Spatial-Temporal Differentiation and Influencing Factors of Urban Sustainability Level in Shandong Province
In response to the goals of sustainable cities and human settlements construction of the United Nations,the article clarified the connotation and composition of sustainable cities,constructs an evaluation index system that included four aspects:Resilience,safety,sustainability and inclusion.It used entropy weight TOPSIS,kernel density estimation,and Tobit regression methods to study the spatial and temporal differences and influencing factors of urban sustainability in Shandong Province.From 2011 to 2020,the sustainable level of cities in Shandong Province showed an upward trend,but the overall level was still low,and the gap between cities was narrowing.The spatial characteristics of urban sustainability were high in the east,low in the west,high in the north,and low in the south.From the perspective of criteria,inclusivity and safety were the main obstacles to improving the sustainable level of cities in Shandong Province,and the hindrance of inclusivity to sustainable level has weakened,while the hindrance of safety has increased.From the indicator level,the top five obstacles were the proportion of direct economic losses caused by fire accidents to GDP,the number of international internet users per 10 000 people,the number of secondary vocational students per 10 000 people,the proportion of direct economic losses caused by traffic accidents to GDP,and the area of centralized heating in households.

SDGssustainable citiesspatial-temporal differentiationShandong Province

于汶生、于伟

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曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东 日照 276826

SDGs 可持续城市 时空分异 山东省

山东省自然科学基金山东省高等学校青创科技支持计划

ZR2021MD0762020RWG010

2024

河南大学学报(自然科学版)
河南大学

河南大学学报(自然科学版)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.464
ISSN:1003-4978
年,卷(期):2024.54(2)
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