首页|绿色信贷与区域碳排放——兼论城镇化、信息化的调节作用

绿色信贷与区域碳排放——兼论城镇化、信息化的调节作用

扫码查看
实现新型城镇化、信息化已列入2035年我国发展的总体目标.厘清绿色信贷对碳排放的影响机制以及城镇化和信息化在此机制中起到的作用,对实现"双碳"目标具有重大意义.基于 2003-2021 年中国 31个省级面板数据,使用固定效应模型研究绿色信贷对碳排放的影响,并结合中介效应模型和调节效应模型探究作用渠道和调节作用.结果表明:绿色信贷的投放能够显著抑制碳排放,且该结论在缓解内生性问题后仍能通过一系列稳健性检验;绿色金融改革创新试验区的建立,能够增强绿色信贷对碳排放的抑制作用;相比于能源大省,非能源大省的绿色信贷抑制碳排放的作用更显著;绿色信贷可以通过降低能源强度的途径抑制碳排放,暂时不能通过优化能源结构的途径来抑制碳排放;城镇化水平在绿色信贷抑制碳排放机制中起到负向调节作用,而信息化水平在绿色信贷抑制碳排放机制中起到正向调节作用.根据研究结论,提出持续加大绿色信贷支持力度、坚持重点区域先行先试、大力发展洁煤技术、推进新型城镇化战略,提高城镇化质量和发展信息通信技术的建议.
Green Credit and Regional Carbon Emissions:Taking into Account the Regulatory Role of Urbanization and Informatization
To realize the new type of urbanization and informatization has been included in the overall goal of China's development in 2035.Clarifying the mechanism of green credit's impact on carbon emissions and the role of urbanization and informatization in this mechanism is of great significance for realizing the"double carbon goal".Based on the panel data of 31 provincial levels in China from 2003 to 2021,the fixed-effect model is used to study the impact of green credit on carbon emissions,and the mediation effect model and regulatory effect model are combined to explore the channels and regulatory effects.The results show that:First,the issuance of green credit can significantly curb carbon emissions,and this conclusion can still pass a series of robust verification after alleviating endogenous problems.Second,the establishment of green finance reform and innovation pilot zone can enhance the inhibition effect of green credit on carbon emissions;Compared with large energy provinces,green credit in non-energy provinces has a more significant effect on curbing carbon emissions.Third,green credit can inhibit carbon emissions by reducing energy intensity,but it cannot temporarily inhibit carbon emissions by optimizing energy structure.Fourth,urbanization level plays a negative regulating role in the mechanism of green credit to curb carbon emissions,while informatization level plays a positive regulating role in the mechanism of green credit to curb carbon emissions.According to the above research conclusions,the author puts forward the suggestions of continuously increasing the support for green credit,insisting on the first trial in key regions,vigorously developing clean coal technology,promoting the new urbanization strategy,improving the quality of urbanization and developing information and communication technology.

green creditregional carbon emissionenergy intensityurbanizationinformatization

赵海华、刘祥慧

展开 >

安徽大学 经济学院,安徽 合肥 230601

绿色信贷 区域碳排放 能源强度 城镇化 信息化

安徽省高等学校人文社会科学研究重点项目

SK2019A0006

2024

中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版)
中南林业科技大学

中南林业科技大学学报(社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:0.629
ISSN:1673-9272
年,卷(期):2024.18(1)
  • 41