首页|基于央行征信数据运用的区域金融风险预警实证研究——以广东省为例

基于央行征信数据运用的区域金融风险预警实证研究——以广东省为例

An Empirical Study on Regional Financial Risk Warning Based on the Application of Basic Financial Credit Reporting System Data:Taking Guangdong Province as an Example

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区域金融风险预警的前提是合理选择风险预警指标.以广东省为研究对象,基于央行征信数据、宏观经济数据和广东省经济风向指标数据,构建广东省金融风险监测预警分析框架和模型,实证分析预测广东省区域金融风险演变趋势,并针对构建基于央行征信数据运用的区域金融风险预警体系提出建议,为运用征信数据开展区域金融风险监测预警提供有益借鉴.
The premise of regional financial risk warning is to reasonably select risk warning indicators.Taking Guangdong Province as the research object,based on the central bank's credit data,macroeconomic data,and Guangdong Province's economic wind direction indicator data,this paper constructs a framework and model for monitoring and early warning of financial risks in Guangdong Province,and empirically analyzes and predicts the evolution trend of regional financial risks in Guangdong Province.It also proposes suggestions for building a regional financial risk warning system based on the application of central bank credit data,providing useful reference for using credit data to carry out regional financial risk monitoring and warning.

credit reporting system dataregional financeearly warning of financial risksnon-performing loan ratio

陈亚东、陈世礼

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中国人民银行广东省分行,广东广州 510000

中国人民银行汕尾市分行,广东汕尾 516600

征信数据 区域金融 金融风险预警 不良贷款率

2024

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中国人民银行郑州培训学院

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CHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.904
ISSN:1674-747X
年,卷(期):2024.42(3)
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