首页|基于逻辑回归模型的喜德县滑坡易发性评价

基于逻辑回归模型的喜德县滑坡易发性评价

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[目的]系统分析喜德县地质灾害发育特征及规律,为当地地质灾害防治提供参考.[方法]以喜德县为研究区域,选取11个影响因子,分析滑坡的空间分布规律,并通过建立逻辑回归模型,对喜德县滑坡灾害进行易发性评价.[结果]结果表明:喜德县滑坡分布于高程2 000~2 600 m;坡度10°~30°;坡向为东北方向;坡位为中坡;距道路距离小于100 m;距水系距离小于200 m;距村落距离小于500 m;距断层距离为小于3 500 m;NDVI为0.7~0.8;地层为白垩系;土地利用为耕地.滑坡高易发区位于鲁基断裂、冷都基断裂、米市河断裂、扎都断裂带周边地区.[结论]滑坡易发性分区结果可直接用于滑坡灾害的防治工作中,对工程建设选址也具有一定的参考价值.
Landslide susceptibility Evaluation of Xide County Based on Logistic Regression Model
[Purposes]Through the systematic analysis of the development characteristics and laws of geo-logical disasters in Xide County,this study provides reference for local geological disaster prevention and control.[Methods]This paper takes Xide County as the research area,selects 11 influencing factors,ana-lyzes the spatial distribution of landslides,and evaluates the susceptibility of landslide disasters in Xide County by establishing a logistic regression model.[Findings]The results show that landslides in Xide County are distributed at an elevation of 2 000~2 600 meters;a slope of 10°~30°;a north-east direction;a middle slope;a distance of less than 100 meters from a road;the distance from the water system is less than 200 m;the distance from the village is less than 500 m;the distance from the fault is less than 3500 m;NDVI was 0.7~0.8;the stratum is Cretaceous;land use is cultivated land.landslide-prone areas are located in the surrounding area of Luji fault,Lengduji fault,Mishihe fault,Zhadu fault zone.[Conclusions]The zoning results of landslide susceptibility can be directly used in the prevention and control of landslide disasters,and also have certain reference value for site selection of engineering construction.

Geological hazardsevaluation of landslide susceptibilitylogistic regression

赵金彪、杨柳、崔玉龙

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安徽瑞成土木工程设计咨询有限公司,安徽 合肥 230088

安徽理工大学,安徽 淮南 232001

地质灾害 滑坡易发性评价 逻辑回归

国家自然科学基金

42277136

2024

河南科技
河南省科学技术信息研究院

河南科技

影响因子:0.615
ISSN:1003-5168
年,卷(期):2024.51(1)
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