首页|20世纪以来全球气象干旱时空变化研究

20世纪以来全球气象干旱时空变化研究

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[目的]气象干旱是四种干旱类型中最先发生的,探明气象干旱发生的特征及规律对其他几种类型干旱的早期预警和防灾减灾具有重要意义.[方法]基于CRU TS数据集中长系列气象数据,采用标准化降雨蒸散发指数(SPEI)表征气象干旱情势,采用Mann-Kendall趋势检验和最小二乘回归分析法研究1901-2021年全球气象干旱变化,并分析其时空变化特征,引入湿润指数(HI)探究干湿状况变化对干旱历时的影响.[结果]20世纪以来全球气象干旱整体呈现加重趋势,尤其是在2001年以后.全球大部分流域的平均干旱历时在13至16个月之间,大部分流域的干旱持续时间没有显著变化.[结论]流域尺度下的干旱历时与区域干湿状况密切相关,累计湿度越大,干旱持续时间越长.
Research on the Temporal and Spatial Changes of Global Meteorological Drought Since the 20th Century
[Purposes]Meteorological drought firstly occurs of the four types of drought,and exploring the characteristics and laws of meteorological drought is of great significance for early warning,disaster pre-vention and mitigation of other types of drought.[Methods]Based on the medium and long series of me-teorological data of CRU TS dataset,this paper uses standardized rainfall evapotranspiration index(SPEI)to characterize meteorological drought situation,uses Mann-Kendall trend test and least squares regression analysis to study the global meteorological drought changes from 1901 to 2021,analyzes their spatiotemporal variation characteristics,and introduces wetness index(HI)to explore the influence of dry and wet conditions on drought duration.[Findings]Since the 20th century,the global meteorological drought has shown an overall aggravation trend,especially after 2001.The average drought duration of most river basins in the world is between 13~16 months,and the duration of drought in most river basins has not changed significantly.[Conclusions]The duration of drought at the basin scale is closely related to regional dry and wet conditions.The greater the accumulated humidity,the longer the drought lasts.

meteorological droughtaccumulated humiditydrainage basintemporal-spatial characteris-tics

刘巧妙、李英杰、麻庆苗、缪紫露、乔家轩

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江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,江苏 徐州 221116

气象干旱 累计湿度 流域 时空特征

江苏师范大学研究生科研与实践创新计划(2022)国家级大学生创新创业训练计划

2022XKT0062202110320151E

2024

河南科技
河南省科学技术信息研究院

河南科技

影响因子:0.615
ISSN:1003-5168
年,卷(期):2024.51(4)
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