首页|2021年9月14-15日中卫市局地暴雨天气成因分析

2021年9月14-15日中卫市局地暴雨天气成因分析

扫码查看
[目的]分析2021年9月14-15日中卫市局地暴雨天气过程的形成机理,为中卫市夏季暴雨降水预报工作提供参考.[方法]利用常规地面观测资料、Micpas地面高空形势场、高空湿度、T-lnP资料、欧洲中心再分析数据集ECMWF ERA5的逐时再分析资料,对此次暴雨天气进行分析.[结果]584 dagpm线从13日20时起北抬,14日20时抬至最高,此后开始南压,雨带南移,15日20时西西伯利亚槽移出中卫.200 hPa高空急流、500 hPa槽、700 hPa槽及低空急流、850 hPa低涡切变、地面冷锋相互配合,台风外围来自南海和黄海的暖湿空气持续向北输送,高低层湿度条件整体较好,湿层深厚;K指数稳定在33~34℃之间,低层有暖平流,中层有冷平流,有一定的不稳定能量;动力条件较好,南北地区在不同的时段出现了强上升运动中心,北部地区对流层中低层为强辐合区,高层辐散,上升运动较强,正涡度区较为深厚.[结论]此次降水持续时间长、范围广、雨强小、累计雨量大,高空槽有明显的后倾结构,以稳定性降水为主,上升运动中心与湿层深厚区配合较好,产生了此次局地暴雨天气.
Cause Analysis of Local Rainstorm in Zhongwei City on September 14-15,2021
[Purposes]The formation mechanism of the local rainstorm weather process in Zhongwei City on September 14-15,2021 was analyzed,so as to provide a reference for the forecast work of the sum-mer rainstorm and precipitation in Zhongwei City.[Methods]Using conventional ground observation data,Micpas ground high altitude situation field,high altitude humidity,T-lnP data,and hourly reanaly-sis data of ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis dataset from European Centre.the local rainstorm weather in Zhong-wei city was analyzed on September 14-15,2021.[Findings]The 584 dagpm moved north from 20:00 on the 13th to the highest from 20:00 on the 14th,and then began to pressure south,the rain belt moved south,and the western Siberian trough moved out of the central defender at 20:00 on the 15th. 200 hPa high altitude jet,500 hPa trough,700 hPa trough and low altitude jet,850 hPa low vortex shear and sur-face cold front cooperate with each other. The warm and humid air from the South China Sea and the Yel-low Sea around the typhoon continues to transport northward. The humidity conditions in the upper and lower layers are generally good,and the wet layer is deep. K index is stable between 33 and 34 ℃,and the low layer has warm low flow,while the moderate layer has cold flow and certain unstable energy;dy-namic conditions are good,strong rising movement center appears in this area at different times.And in the northern region,the middle and lower troposphere is a strong convergence zone,the upper layer is di-vergent,the ascending motion is strong,and the positive vorticity area is relatively deep.[Conclusions]The precipitation is characterized by long duration,wide range,small rainfall intensity and large cumula-tive rainfall. The upper trough has a clear backward structure,which is mainly stable precipitation. The ascending motion center and the deep wet layer are well coordinated,resulting in the local rainstorm weather.

Zhongwei Citylocal rainstormcause analysis

陈星宜、杨苑、虎娜、杨贵、张泽瑾

展开 >

中国气象局旱区特色农业气象灾害监测预警与风险管理重点实验室,宁夏 银川 750002

宁夏气象防灾减灾重点实验室,宁夏 银川 750002

宁夏中卫市气象局,宁夏 中卫 755000

中卫市 局地暴雨 成因分析

2024

河南科技
河南省科学技术信息研究院

河南科技

影响因子:0.615
ISSN:1003-5168
年,卷(期):2024.51(12)