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乌鲁木齐市生境质量时空演变特征及预测

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[目的]评估乌鲁木齐市生境质量的演变特征.[方法]运用PLUS模型和InVEST模型对乌鲁木齐市土地利用类型和生境质量进行预测、评估.[结果]①2000-2022年乌鲁木齐市出现"四增二减"趋势,建设用地、未利用地面积扩张趋势明显,林地、水域面积略有增加,草地、耕地面积缩减较大.②研究区生境质量与土地利用类型关系紧密,生境质量高值区主要分布于天山林地,低值区主要分布于人类活动聚集区和古尔班通古特沙漠和达坂城区戈壁滩.③研究期内乌鲁木齐市生境质量整体较低并呈现持续下降趋势,退化区集中在乌鲁木齐城区周围、达坂城戈壁沿线;在自然情景下,2030年乌鲁木齐市生境持续恶化,在生态保护情景下,会有一定程度改善.[结论]研究结果对未来乌鲁木齐市生态治理工作和优化国土空间布局具有一定的参考价值.
The Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Prediction of Habitat Quality in Urumqi
[Purposes]This paper aims to evaluate the evolutionary characteristics of habitat quality in Urumqi.[Methods]The PLUS model and InVEST model were used to predict and evaluate the land use types and habitat quality in Urumqi.[Findings]①From 2000 to 2022,Urumqi experienced a trend of"four increases and two decreases",with a significant expansion trend of construction and unused land areas,a slight increase in forest and water areas,and a significant reduction in grassland and cultivated land areas.② The relationship between habitat quality and land use types is closely related in the re-search area.High value areas of habitat quality are mainly distributed in the Tianshan forest,while low value areas are mainly distributed in human activity gathering areas,such as the Gurbantunggut Desert,and the Gobi Desert in Dabancheng District.③During the research period,the overall habitat quality in Urumqi was relatively low and showed a continuous downward trend.The degraded areas were concen-trated around the urban area of Urumqi and along the Gobi Desert in Dabancheng District.In natural sce-narios,the habitat in Urumqi will continue to deteriorate by 2030,and there will be some improvement in ecological protection scenarios.[Conclusions]The research results have certain reference value for fu-ture ecological governance work and optimization of land spatial layout in Urumqi.

land use changehabitat qualityInVEST modelUrumqi

李陈锃、张永福

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新疆大学地理与遥感科学学院,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017

新疆大学绿洲生态教育部重点实验室,新疆 乌鲁木齐 830017

土地利用变化 生境质量 InVEST模型 乌鲁木齐市

国家自然科学基金资助项目

41964024

2024

河南科技
河南省科学技术信息研究院

河南科技

影响因子:0.615
ISSN:1003-5168
年,卷(期):2024.51(16)