华南理工大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.53Issue(1) :10-20.DOI:10.12141/j.issn.1000-565X.240050

基于降阶模型的配网电缆温度场数字孪生建模方法

Digital Twin Modeling Method of Temperature Field in Distribution Cables Based on Reduced Order Model

牛海清 黄世杰 王东 马海涛 范华 翁利国 刘刚
华南理工大学学报(自然科学版)2025,Vol.53Issue(1) :10-20.DOI:10.12141/j.issn.1000-565X.240050

基于降阶模型的配网电缆温度场数字孪生建模方法

Digital Twin Modeling Method of Temperature Field in Distribution Cables Based on Reduced Order Model

牛海清 1黄世杰 1王东 1马海涛 1范华 2翁利国 2刘刚1
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作者信息

  • 1. 华南理工大学 电力学院,广东 广州 510640
  • 2. 浙江中新电力工程建设有限公司,浙江 杭州 311200
  • 折叠

摘要

电力设备的物理状态感知是建设智能电网的关键点之一.数字孪生技术可实时映射并快速预测设备的物理状态,但现有建模方法难以满足电缆温度场数字孪生模型的实时计算要求.鉴于此,该文提出了一种基于降阶模型的配网电缆温度场数字孪生建模方法.首先,建立电缆多物理场全阶模型,基于奇异值分解和响应面插值方法建立其稳态温度场降阶模型;然后,结合稳态温度场降阶模型及电缆表面温度数据,通过实时求解多回路电缆传热反问题重构当前的电缆内部瞬态温度场,并基于排管敷设电缆温升试验验证了方法的正确性.进一步地,将该方法应用于实际运行的10 kV电缆的内部瞬态温度场重构,将重构结果作为已知初始状态,基于稳态温度场降阶模型和改进叠加法快速预测应急状态下的电缆导体温度.与全阶模型相比,电缆导体温度重构值的最大相对误差为1.76%,应急状态运行的导体温度预测误差为1.01%,单次重构和预测计算时间分别为8.1 s和3.6 s,计算效率分别提高约35 555倍和6 000倍.该方法兼顾了计算速度、计算精度和建模成本,对其他类型电力设备温度场数字孪生建模具有参考意义.

Abstract

State perception of power equipment is one of the key issues in the construction of smart grid.Digital twin(DT)technology can map and quickly predict the physical state of equipment in real-time,but existing model-ing methods are difficult to meet the real-time computing requirements.This paper proposes a DT modeling method for distribution cables temperature field based on reduced-order model.The method first establishes a multi-physics full-order model of cables,builds a reduced-order model of the steady-state temperature field based on sin-gular value decomposition and response surface interpolation methods.Combining the steady-state reduced-order model and temperature measurement data,the multi-circuit cables heat transfer inverse problem is solved to recon-struct the transient temperature field inside the cables in real-time,and the correctness is verified based on the tem-perature rise test results.Furthermore,the proposed method is employed to reconstruct the internal transient tem-perature field of 10 kV cables in actual operation.Taking the reconstructed result as the known initial state,the cable conductor temperature during emergency operation is quickly predicted based on the reduced-order model and the improved superposition method.As compared with the simulation results of the full-order model,the maxi-mum relative error of the conductor temperature DT reconstruction value is 1.76%,the conductor temperature pre-diction error during emergency operation is 1.01%.The calculation time of single reconstruction and prediction is 8.1 s and 3.6 s,and the calculation efficiency is about 35 555 times and 6 000 times that of the full-order model,re-spectively.The new method takes calculation speed,calculation accuracy and modeling cost into consideration,and has reference significance for the temperature field DT modeling of other types of power equipment.

关键词

配网电缆/数字孪生/降阶模型/温度场重构

Key words

distribution cable/digital twin/reduced order model/temperature field reconstruction

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出版年

2025
华南理工大学学报(自然科学版)
华南理工大学

华南理工大学学报(自然科学版)

CSTPCDCSCD北大核心
影响因子:0.678
ISSN:1000-565X
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