首页|1961-2020年商丘市高温时空分布特征及其对农作物的影响

1961-2020年商丘市高温时空分布特征及其对农作物的影响

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基于商丘市8个气象站1961-2020年逐日高温等观测资料,采用线性回归、相关分析、M-K检验等方法,分析了商丘市高温时空分布特征及影响.结果表明:1961-2020年商丘市高温平均始期以1.08天/10年的速率显著推迟,终期以1.86天/10年的速率显著提前;平均高温最长连续日数呈减少趋势,年平均高温最长连续日数为4.9天,高温最长连续 日数为12.7天;年平均高温日数、高温最长连续日数总体呈自东南向西北逐渐减少.年平均高温日数以-0.59天/10年的速率减少;夏季高温日数占年高温日数的93.1%,6-7月的占77.3%.高温导致夏玉米卡脖旱风险加大.1981-2020年夏玉米开花期遭遇高温平均为4年1次,近10年平均为5年2次,夏玉米开花日期以-1.65天/10年的速率显著提前.
Spatial and Temporal Distribution Characteristics of High Temperature and Its Effects on Crops in Shangqiu During 1961-2020
Based on the daily high temperature observation data of 8 meteorological stations in Shan-gqiu City of Henan Province during 1961-2020,the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics and the effect of high temperature in Shangqiu are analyzed by using linear regression,correlation analysis and M-K test.The results show that from 1961 to 2020,the average beginning period of high tempera-ture in Shangqiu showed a significantly delayed trend at the rate of 1.08 d/10yr,and the average end pe-riod was significantly advanced by 1.86 d/10yr.The longest consecutive days of high temperature showed a decreasing trend,the longest consecutive days of annual mean high temperature were 4.9 days,and the longest consecutive high temperature days were 12.7 days.The annual mean number of high temperature days,the longest consecutive high temperature days kept decreasing gradually from southeast to north-west.The annual mean high temperature days showed a significant decreasing trend of-0.59 d/10yr.The number of high temperature days in summer accounted for 93.1% of the total days,and 77.3% oc-curred from June to July.The high temperature raised the risk of corn-choking drought in summer.The high temperature stage coincided with the tasseling powder stage of summer maize happens once every 4 years on average,but twice every 5 years on average in recent 10 years during 1981-2020.The flowering date of summer maize showed a significant advance trend at the rate of-1.65 d/10yr.

Shangqiu Cityhigh temperaturecorncorn-choking drought in the summer

史桂芬、朱业玉、贺付伟、孙梦仙

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河南省气候中心,郑州 450003

安阳国家气候观象台,河南安阳 455000

商丘市气象局,河南商丘 476000

商丘市 高温 夏玉米 卡脖旱

安阳国家气候观象台开放研究基金河南省科技攻关计划

AYNCOF202313222102320322

2023

气象与环境科学
河南省气象局

气象与环境科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.28
ISSN:1673-7148
年,卷(期):2023.46(6)
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