首页|2023年江苏省麦收期连阴雨天气特征及其对冬小麦的影响分析

2023年江苏省麦收期连阴雨天气特征及其对冬小麦的影响分析

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基于自动气象站观测资料、ECMWF再分析资料、江苏省冬小麦生育期及产量资料,对2023年5月下旬大范围连阴雨过程的成因进行研究,分析了天气过程和大气环流背景特征,以及连阴雨对江苏省冬小麦成熟和收获进度等的影响.结果表明:(1)本次过程具有降水 日数多、范围广、雨量大、短时强降水特征明显、伴有高温天气出现及日照时数少等特点,5月26-31日江苏省雨量较常年同期偏多2~4倍,降水 日数较常年同期偏多4成,长江以北累计日照时数较常年同期偏少5~8成.(2)500 hPa上,与历史同期相比,乌拉尔山脉附近高压与贝加尔湖附近低槽强度偏大40~60 gpm,副热带高压偏强偏北约5个纬度;850 hPa上,副热带高压边缘的西南气流与"玛娃"台风外围云系提供了有利的水汽输送条件,多系统共同作用下造成了此次连阴雨过程的极端性.(3)持续阴雨寡照,不利于作物光合作用,造成江苏省冬小麦收获期较2008-2022年推迟2~3天、淮北局部麦田发生"穗发芽"现象.淮北地区冬小麦受影响程度总体大于苏南地区,徐州市2023年冬小麦千粒重较2022年的减少3.94g,这主要与生育期、作物品种、连阴雨强度有关.近16年来江苏省麦收平均受连阴雨影响的频次为3.2年/次,适时早播,成熟收获期适时提前收割,育种方面突出培育早熟或抗穗发芽的小麦品种,可以避免麦收期间连阴雨灾害影响,减少或避免粮食损失.
Characteristics of Continuous Rain Weather in the 2023 Wheat Harvest Period and the Influence on Winter Wheat in Jiangsu Province
Based on the precipitation observations of automatic weather stations,the ECMWF rean-alysis data,and the growth period and yield data of winter wheat in Jiangsu Province,the causes of large-scale continuous rain process in late May 2023 are investigated,and the background characteristics of this rain process and atmospheric circulation are analyzed.Moreover,the impact of the continuous rainy process on the maturation and harvest progress of winter wheat in Jiangsu Province is also discussed.The results show that:(1)This continuous rain process was obviously featured with long duration,wide range,large rainfall amount and short-time intense precipitation,being accompanied by high temperature and fewer sunshine hours.From May 26 to 31,the rainfall amount in Jiangsu Province was 2 to 4 times more than that in the same period of normal years,rainfall days were 40%more than in the same period of normal years,and the sunshine hours to the north of the Yangtze River were 50%to 80%less than in the same period of normal years.(2)At 500 hPa,the intensities of the high pressure near the Ural Mountains and the low trough near Lake Baikal were 40-60 gpm larger than normal,and the subtropical high was stronger and about 5 latitudes northward.At 850 hPa,the southwest airflow at the edge of the subtropical high and the outer cloud system of Typhoon Mawar provided favorable water vapor transport conditions,and the multi-system interaction contributed to this continuous rain process.(3)Continuous rain and less sunshine are not conducive to crop photosynthesis,so the harvest period of winter wheat in Jiangsu was delayed by 2-3 days compared with that in 2008-2022,causing the occurrence of the phe-nomenon"pre-harvest sprouting"in some wheat fields to the north of Huaihe River,where the winter wheat was affected more serious than in southern Jiangsu.As a result,in Xuzhou city,the 1000-grain weight of winter wheat in 2023 was reduced by 3.94 g compared to the situation in 2022,which was mainly related to the growth period and variety of wheat as well as the intensity of continuous rain.In the recent 16 years,the average frequency of wheat harvest affected by continuous rain in Jiangsu is 3.2 years/time.Therefore,appropriately early sowing,early harvesting at mature stage,and breeding wheat varieties that are premature or resistant to pre-harvest sprouting can avoid the negative impact of continu-ous rain during wheat harvest period and reduce or avoid the grain loss.

continuous rainy weatherwinter wheatsynoptic featurepre-harvest sprouting

徐忆菲、徐敏、李特、谭玲

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江苏省气候中心,南京 210018

江苏省气象台,南京 210018

南京农业大学,南京 210095

连阴雨 冬小麦 天气特征 穗发芽

江苏省气象局青年基金项目江苏省气象局揭榜挂帅项目

KQ202306KZ202302

2024

气象与环境科学
河南省气象局

气象与环境科学

CSTPCD
影响因子:1.28
ISSN:1673-7148
年,卷(期):2024.47(1)
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