首页|粮食安全与农业绿色低碳发展协同推进机制研究——基于粮食主产区政策的准自然实验

粮食安全与农业绿色低碳发展协同推进机制研究——基于粮食主产区政策的准自然实验

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将粮食主产区政策作为外部冲击政策的准自然实验,构建双重差分的识别框架,动态评估粮食主产区政策对粮食安全与农业绿色低碳协同发展的影响机制及作用路径.研究发现:粮食主产区的设立可以显著带动粮食安全与农业绿色低碳发展协同推进.粮食主产区设立的政策效应主要通过技术进步和产业结构调整两条路径对粮食安全与农业绿色低碳转型协同发展发挥作用,而且绿色技术进步的作用更为明显,需要深化"藏粮于技".经营规模在粮食主产区政策的影响效应中具有调节作用.异质性分析表明,粮食适度规模经营可以强化粮食主产区的政策效应,随着老龄化程度的提高,粮食主产区的政策效应逐渐弱化,而内陆省份的粮食主产区政策效应的作用效果要优于沿海省份.
Research on the Synergistic Promotion Mechanism of Food Security and Green Low-Carbon Agricultural Development:Based on a Quasi-Natural Experiment of the Policy in Major Grain Production Areas
Taking the policy of establishing grain production areas as a quasi-natural experiment of external shock poli-cies,this study constructs a double difference identification framework to dynamically evaluate the impact mechanism and pathways of the policy in major grain production areas on the synergy between food security and green low-carbon agricultural development.The research finds that the establishment of grain production areas can significantly promote the coordinated advancement of food security and green low-carbon development agriculture.The policy effect of establishing grain production areas mainly operates through two pathways:technological progress and industrial structure adjustment.The role of green technological progress is more pronounced,and it is necessary to deepen"hiding grain in technology".The scale of operation has a moderating effect on the impact effectiveness of grain production area policies.Heterogeneity analysis shows that moderate-scale farming can strengthen the policy effects of grain production areas,while with an increase in aging population,these effects gradually weaken.In addition,inland provinces have better results from their grain production area policies compared to coastal provinces.

food securitygreen and low-carbon transformation of agriculturemajor grain producing areasindustrial structuretechnical progress

郭海红、刘新民

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青岛农业大学(山东青岛266109)

粮食安全 农业绿色低碳转型 粮食主产区 产业结构 技术进步

国家社会科学基金一般项目

21BGL160

2024

湖南师范大学社会科学学报
湖南师范大学

湖南师范大学社会科学学报

CSTPCDCSSCICHSSCD北大核心
影响因子:1.06
ISSN:1000-2529
年,卷(期):2024.53(3)