首页|江苏省区域经济发展空间格局及影响因素的多尺度效应分析

江苏省区域经济发展空间格局及影响因素的多尺度效应分析

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探索区域经济差异的时空演变及驱动因素对于缩小地区差异,促进区域经济协调、健康和高质量发展具有重要意义.将夜间灯光数据与传统经济数据相结合来综合表征区域经济发展水平,采用空间分析方法刻画2005-2020 年江苏省县域经济差异的空间格局演变特征,并借助多尺度地理加权回归模型探讨影响因素的尺度差异和空间异质性.研究发现:①江苏省区域经济"中心—外围"特征突出,苏北市区的经济引领作用逐渐凸显,苏南县市经济辐射圈层不断扩大,总体上集聚效应在不断增强.②江苏省经济发展的极化现象仍然突出,经济发展的绝对差距在扩大,但相对差距在减小.③江苏省经济发展重心日益北移,南北方向的扩张趋势大于东西方向.④产业发展对县域经济差异的影响强度最强,其次是市场引导、基础条件和政府调控,外向拉动的影响不显著;在影响尺度上,产业发展、市场动力和外向动力作用尺度较大,基础条件和政府调控作用尺度较小.多尺度地理加权回归模型较好地展示了影响因素作用于区域经济发展的尺度效应及空间关系的非平稳性特征.
Analysis of Spatial Characteristics and Multi-scale Effects of Influencing Factors of County Economic Development in Jiangsu
Exploring the spatial and temporal evolution of regional economic disparities and their driving fac-tors is of great significance for narrowing regional differences and promoting coordinated,healthy,and high-quality development of the regional economy.Here,nighttime light data and traditional economic data were combined to comprehensively characterize the level of regional economic development,spatial analysis methods were used to characterize the spatial pattern evolution characteristics of county-level economic disparities in Jiangsu province from 2005 to 2020,and multi-scale geographically weighted regression models were adopted to explore the scale differ-ences and spatial heterogeneity of influencing factors.Results show as follows.①The"center-periphery"character-istic of Jiangsu's regional economy is prominent,with the economic leading role of urban areas in northern Jiangsu gradually becoming prominent and the economic radiation circle of counties and cities in southern Jiangsu continu-ously expanding.Overall,the agglomeration effect is constantly strengthening.② The polarization phenomenon of Jiangsu's economic development is still prominent,and the absolute gap in economic development is widening,but the relative gap is decreasing.③ The center of economic development in Jiangsu province is increasingly moving northward,with a greater expansion trend in the north-south direction than in the east-west direction.④The indus-trial development has the strongest impact on the county-level economic disparities,followed by the market guid-ance,basic conditions,and government regulation.The impact of outward pull is not significant.On the scale of in-fluence,the industrial development,market dynamics,and outward dynamics have larger scale effects,while basic conditions and government regulation have smaller scale effects.The multi-scale geographically weighted regression model better demonstrates the scale effects of influencing factors on the regional economic development and the non-stationary characteristics of spatial relationships.

county-level economynighttime light imagespatial characteristicsmulti-scale geographically weighted regressionJiangsu province

杨振、朱虎啸、王晓筱、欧向军

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江苏师范大学地理测绘与城乡规划学院,中国 徐州 221116

县域经济 夜间灯光影像 空间特征 多尺度地理加权回归 江苏省

国家自然科学基金资助项目国家自然科学基金资助项目江苏高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目

42271177422012022022SJYB1161

2024

湖南师范大学自然科学学报
湖南师范大学

湖南师范大学自然科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.62
ISSN:1000-2537
年,卷(期):2024.47(1)
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