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中国省际数字经济与旅游业高质量发展的耦合互动关系

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数字经济是推动旅游业高质量发展的重要驱动力,同时旅游业高质量发展也为数字经济发展提供了物质支撑.首先,利用改进后的熵值法分别测算 30 个省份 2011-2020 年数字经济与旅游业高质量发展水平;其次,采用耦合协调度模型与Kernel密度估计法分析二者的耦合协调状态;最后,借助PVAR模型探究二者的互动响应关系.研究结果表明:(1)在研究期内,中国数字经济发展水平呈现稳步上升趋势,增幅较大且呈现显著的空间异质性;旅游业高质量发展水平呈现倒"N"型波动交替演化特征,且呈现显著的空间异质性.(2)在研究期内,数字经济与旅游业高质量发展的耦合协调度在时序上稳步提升,从期初的中度失调转为期末的基本协调状态,且存在"俱乐部收敛"发展趋向;在空间上由大到小呈东部、西部、东北部、中部的空间分布格局.(3)中国数字经济与旅游业高质量发展存在良性互动关系,短期内二者的交互效应较大;从长期影响来看,二者受自身发展的影响较大.
The Coupling Interaction Between Inter-provincial Digital Economy and High-quality Tourism Development in China
Digital economy is an important driving force to promote the high-quality development of tourism,while the high-quality development of tourism also provides material support for the development of digital economy.Firstly,the improved entropy value method was used to measure the level of digital economy and high-quality tourism development in 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020.Secondly,the coupling coordination model and Kernel density estimation method are used to analyze the coupling coordination state of the two.Finally,the PVAR model is used to explore the interactive response relationship between the two.The results of the study are as fol-lows.(1)During the studied period,the development level of China's digital economy shows a steady upward trend,with a large increase and significant spatial heterogeneity.The level of high-quality development of tourism shows an inverted"N"-shaped fluctuations in the alternation of the characteristics of the evolution of the tourism in-dustry and shows significant spatial heterogeneity.(2)During the studied period,the coupling coordination degree of digital economy and high-quality tourism development has been steadily improving in time sequence,from a mod-erate dissonance at the beginning of the period to a basic state of coordination at the end of the period and there is a tendency of"club convergence"development,spatially presenting a distribution order of"East,West,North-east,and Center".(3)There is a benign interactive relationship between China's digital economy and the high-quality development of tourism,and in the short term,the interaction effect of the two is larger.In terms of long-term im-pact,the two are more affected by their own development.

digital economyhigh-quality tourism developmentcoupling and coordinationKernel density estimation methodPVAR modeling

王凯、赵燕、甘畅、胡鸣镝、刘美伦

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湖南师范大学旅游学院,中国 长沙 410081

武汉轻工大学管理学院,中国 武汉 430048

数字经济 旅游业高质量发展 耦合协调 Kernel密度估计法 PVAR模型

国家社会科学基金资助项目

22BJL059

2024

湖南师范大学自然科学学报
湖南师范大学

湖南师范大学自然科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.62
ISSN:1000-2537
年,卷(期):2024.47(5)