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长江中游城市群环境规制对旅游生态安全的影响效应研究

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科学审视环境规制对旅游生态安全的影响效应是实现区域旅游产业高质量发展的必然要求.以长江中游城市群为案例区域,基于DPSIR模型框架构建旅游生态安全评价指标体系,继而采用熵值法、地理空间分析方法和面板回归模型,对环境规制与旅游生态安全时空演变特征及其作用关系进行刻画分析,研究发现:(1)在时间维度上,长江中游城市群环境规制整体呈"振荡起伏"式上升态势,且阶段分异特征鲜明,旅游生态安全水平整体呈上升趋势,但综合水平偏低,大致呈"稳定增长"到"陡坡式增长"的演替特征;(2)在空间维度上,长江中游城市群环境规制与旅游生态安全水平空间非平衡性特征突出,前者呈"核心成片状,局部成点状"空间发展态势,后者则表现为由中心城市不断向周边区域辐射,逐步形成中、高水平连片分布的空间格局.(3)长江中游城市群环境规制对旅游生态安全具有显著的正面影响,但空间异质性特征突出,且形成"环鄱阳湖城市群高于环长株潭城市群,高于武汉都市圈"的分异格局.(4)除环境规制外,长江中游城市群旅游生态安全时空变迁与其他控制变量均呈正相关关系,所有研究变量的影响程度由高到低依次为产业结构高级化、环境规制、城镇化水平、科技创新和人口素质.
Study on the Impact of Environmental Regulation on Tourism Ecological Security of the Urban Agglomerations in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River
It is an inevitable requirement for the high quality development of regional tourism industry to ex-amine the impact of environmental regulation on tourism ecological safety scientifically.Taking the urban agglomera-tion in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River as a case region,the tourism ecological security evaluation index system was constructed based on the DPSIR model framework,and then entropy method,geospatial analysis method and panel regression model were adopted to characterize and analyze the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and their role relationship between environmental regulation and tourism ecological security.The research findings are as follows.(1)In terms of time,the overall environmental regulation of urban agglomerations in the middle rea-ches of the Yangtze River presents a"fluctuating"upward trend,and the stage differentiation is distinctive.The overall level of tourism ecological security is on the rise,but the comprehensive level is low,and the evolutionary situation is characterized by succession from"steady growth"to"steep growth".(2)In spatial dimension,envi-ronmental regulation and tourism ecological security level of urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yan-gtze River have prominent spatial non-balance characteristics,with the former showing a spatial development trend of"core forming a sheet and local forming a spot",while the latter is manifested as the central city radiating to the surrounding areas and gradually forming a spatial pattern of medium and high level continuous distribution.(3)En-vironmental regulation of urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River has a significant positive impact on tourism ecological security,but the spatial heterogeneity is prominent,and the differentiation pattern of"Poyang Lake urban agglomeration,Changsha-Zhuzhou-Xiangtan urban agglomeration,Wuhan metropolitan area"is formed.(4)Except for environmental regulation,the temporal and spatial changes of tourism ecological security in urban agglomerations in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River are positively correlated with other control varia-bles,and the influence degree of all studied variables presents a sequence pattern of"industrial structure upgra-ding,environmental regulation,urbanization level,scientific and technological innovation,population quality".

environmental regulationtourism ecological securityDPSIR modelpanel regression modelthe Urban Agglomerations in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River

杨友宝、王梦瑶

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湖南师范大学旅游学院,中国 长沙 410081

环境规制 旅游生态安全 DPSIR模型 面板回归模型 长江中游城市群

国家自然科学基金资助项目湖南省教育厅科学研究重点资助项目湖南省自然科学基金资助项目

4220122422A00472023JJ30408

2024

湖南师范大学自然科学学报
湖南师范大学

湖南师范大学自然科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.62
ISSN:1000-2537
年,卷(期):2024.47(5)