The saturated load is closely related to the scale of social and economic development.Predicting the magnitude of the saturated load value,the time nodes of its occurrence and its spatial distribution is conducive to planning the optimal target grid in the region.In this paper,the Logistic growth curve model and the econometric model are used for modeling and prediction.Taking the central urban area of Chongqing as an example,it is divid-ed into three regions according to the degree of its development,namely the advanced area,the intermediate area and the primary area.Their respective econometric models are established for saturated load prediction,and the tar-get grid planning of various regions is guided according to the prediction results,thus promoting the social and eco-nomic development of the region.
关键词
电力系统/饱和电力负荷预测/网格化/区域饱和
Key words
power system/saturated power load forecasting/gridding/regional saturation
万方数据