首页|大运河文化带文旅产业耦合协调测度及时空演化

大运河文化带文旅产业耦合协调测度及时空演化

扫码查看
基于 2012-2021 年大运河文化带沿线 35 个城市的面板数据,采用耦合协调度模型测算其文化和旅游产业耦合协调发展水平,运用自然断点法和局部莫兰指数分析其时空演化特征,结果表明:在观测期内,大运河文化带文旅产业综合发展水平整体呈现波动上升趋势,文化产业略低于旅游产业,各城市发展不均衡;沿线城市文化和旅游产业耦合协调发展水平整体不高且存在显著差异,大部分城市处于中度失调和严重失调状态;耦合协调度基本形成"南北热、中间冷"的空间格局,并呈现由边缘向中间地区递减的趋势;时空关联分析呈现"小集聚、大分散"的特征,各地区局部空间关联性较弱,无明显的空间邻近性与依赖性,尚未充分发挥核心增长极的辐射带动作用.据此提出了大运河文化带文旅产业高质量协调发展的政策建议.
Measurement and Spatial-Temporal Evolution of the Coupling Coordination of Cultural and Tourism Industries in the Grand Canal Cultural Belt
Using panel data from 35 cities along the Grand Canal cultural belt from 2012 to 2021,this study applies a coupling coordination degree model to assess the integrated development of cultural and tourism industries.Additionally,the natural breakpoint method and local Moran's index are employed to explore the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics.The following results are concluded.(1)From 2012 to 2021,the cultural tourism industry's comprehensive development level experienced fluctuations but showed an overall upward trend,with the cultural industry lagging slightly behind tourism and significant disparities among cities.(2)The coupling coordina-tion level of culture and tourism across cities remained generally low,with most cities exhibiting moderate to severe imbalances.(3)A spatial pattern of"north-south hot and middle cold"emerged,characterized by a decreasing trend of coupling from the periphery to the central region.(4)Spatial-temporal correlation analysis identified a"small agglomeration and large dispersion"pattern,weak local spatial correlations,and limited spatial proximity and dependence,indicating that the core growth poles had not fully exerted their radiating effects.Based on these findings,this study proposes policy recommendations to promote the high-quality coordinated development of the cultural and tourism industries along the Grand Canal cultural belt.

the Grand Canal cultural beltculture and tourism integrationcoupling coordinationspatial-temporal evolution

杨昀、蒋笑影

展开 >

苏州科技大学商学院,中国 苏州 215009

大运河文化带 文旅融合 耦合协调 时空演化

2024

湖南师范大学自然科学学报
湖南师范大学

湖南师范大学自然科学学报

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.62
ISSN:1000-2537
年,卷(期):2024.47(6)