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天津电力行业CO2影子价格影响因素

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根据线性规划对偶理论建立了电力行业发电成本最小化模型,并以天津市为例,对其2014~2020年的电力行业二氧化碳影子价格进行了测算与分析,并对其影响因素进行了相关研究.研究表明:天津电力行业光伏发电成本的降低将带动其CO2影子价格的降低:光伏发电成本每降低0.1元/kWh,CO2影子价格平均降低13.66元/t,且平均发电成本也有所降低.在碳排放约束不断收紧的条件下,天津市电力行业CO2影子价格未表现出明显变化,但其发电结构不断优化,说明天津可以通过调整发电结构来满足碳配额要求并使得边际减排成本保持不变.高碳排放强度的火力发电方式可以通过实施CCS技术来降低电力行业CO2影子价格,但平均发电成本会有所上升.
The Influencing Factors of CO2 Shadow Price in Tianjin's Power Industry
A model for minimizing power generation costs in the power industry was established based on linear pro-gramming duality theory,and the shadow price of carbon dioxide in the power industry from 2014 to 2020 was measured and analyzed by taking Tianjin as an example,and the influencing factors were studied.The results indi-cate that the reduction of photovoltaic power generation costs in Tianjin's power sector will lead to a decrease in its carbon dioxide shadow price:for every 0.1 yuan per kWh reduction in photovoltaic power generation cost,the car-bon dioxide shadow price decreases by an average of 13.66 yuan per ton,alongside a reduction in the average power generation cost.Under the condition of tightening carbon emission constraints,the shadow price of carbon dioxide in Tianjin's power industry did not show significant changes,but its power generation structure was continuously opti-mized,indicating that Tianjin can adjust the power generation structure to meet carbon quota requirements while keeping the marginal abatement cost unchanged.High carbon intensity thermal power generation can reduce the shadow price of CO2 in the power sector by implementing CCS technology,though the average cost of power genera-tion will rise.

carbon marketshadow price of carbon dioxidemarginal abatement costpower industryTianjin

魏琦、陈俊瑜

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兰州理工大学经济管理学院,兰州 730050

碳市场 二氧化碳影子价格 边际减排成本 电力行业 天津市

国家自然科学基金项目甘肃省教育厅揭榜挂帅项目

719630242021jyjbgs-08

2024

华南师范大学学报(自然科学版)
华南师范大学

华南师范大学学报(自然科学版)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.413
ISSN:1000-5463
年,卷(期):2024.56(4)
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