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东江流域水土保持服务供需的时空变化和影响因素

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准确识别水土保持服务功能的供需匹配时空关系及其影响因素,可为区域水土流失的预防和治理提供重要依据.以东江流域为例,基于RUSLE模型量化2000-2020年的水土保持服务供需,并进一步采用地理加权回归模型探求主导因子对水土保持服务供需关系变化之间的影响.结果显示:(1)东江流域大部分地区(约64.46%)的水土保持服务供需表现为盈余状态,供需赤字状态主要分布在中部和南部,2000-2020年的供需比呈现先下降后上升的趋势(2000、2010、2020年的供需比分别为0.042、0.037、0.044).(2)水土保持服务供需的空间匹配类型为低高型(低供给-高需求)的区域主要分布在东江流域东南部,是改善水土保持服务供需失衡的重点区域.(3)归一化植被指数对东江流域的水土保持服务供需影响最大,且表现出全局正向促进作用;年均降雨量、人口密度、高程和国内生产总值的影响则有正有负,具有明显的空间异质性.由研究结果可知,近10年来东江流域水土保持服务正在逐步改善,但仍需关注"低高型"水土保持服务供需类型区域,重点考虑归一化植被指数的影响,同时充分考虑各因素的空间非平稳性,以制定更具针对性的水土保持空间治理策略.
Study on the Temporal and Spatial Variation and Influencing Factors of Soil and Water Conservation Function Services Supply and Demand in the Dongjiang River Basin
Accurately identifing the spatial and temporal relationship between the supply and demand of soil and water conservation function services and its influencing factors can provide an valuable basis for the prevention and management of regional soil erosion.Taking the Dongjiang River Basin as an example,the supply and demand of soil and water conservation services from 2000 to 2020 were quantified based on the RUSLE model,and the geo-graphically weighted regression model was further used to explore the influence of the dominant factors on the rela-tionship between the changes in the supply and demand of soil and water conservation services.The results show that:(1)The supply and demand of soil and water conservation services in most areas of the Dongjiang Basin(about 64.46%)show a surplus,with deficits mainly in the central and southern parts of the basin,with the supply-demand ratio showing a downward and then an upward trend from 2000 to 2020(the supply-demand ratio for 2000,2010 and 2020 are 0.042,0.037 and 0.044,respectively).(2)The areas with the"L-H"(low supply-high demand)spatial match type of soil and water concervation services are mainly distributed in the southeastern of the Dongjiang Basin.which is a key area for improving the imbalance between the supply of and demand for soil and water conser-vation services.(3)NDVI had the greatest influence on the supply and demand of soil and water conservation ser-vices in the Dongjiang Basin and showed a global positive effect,while the effects of average annual rainfall,popula-tion density,DEM and GDP have both positive and negative,with obvious spatial heterogeneity.The findings of the study indicate that soil and water conservation services in the Dongjiang Basin are exhibiting a gradual improve-ment,but it is still necessary to pay attention to the"L-H"type of areas,focusing on the influence of NDVI,and at the same time fully considering the spatial non-stationarity of other factors,in order to formulate more targeted spatial management strategy for soil and water conservation.

soil and water conservation services supply and demandspatial and temporal variationGWRDongjiang River Basin

韩念龙、纪家慧

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惠州学院地理与旅游学院,惠州 516007

水土保持服务供需 时空变化 地理加权回归 东江流域

2024

华南师范大学学报(自然科学版)
华南师范大学

华南师范大学学报(自然科学版)

CSTPCD北大核心
影响因子:0.413
ISSN:1000-5463
年,卷(期):2024.56(5)