首页|考虑羊群效应的低碳创新网络搭便车行为演化——基于Moran过程的随机博弈分析

考虑羊群效应的低碳创新网络搭便车行为演化——基于Moran过程的随机博弈分析

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低碳创新是实现"碳达峰、碳中和"目标的关键动力与路径,由众多创新主体组成的低碳创新网络则是我国低碳创新的主要力量.然而,合作网络中的搭便车行为,却严重制约了我国低碳创新网络的稳定发展与深度创新.为此,在相关研究基础上考虑羊群效应理论,并引入Moran过程构建随机博弈模型,对低碳创新网络中搭便车行为的形成演化进行分析.结果表明:首先,当不考虑羊群效应或羊群效应较低时,低碳创新网络仅存在唯一稳定状态.而当羊群效应作用较强时,创新网络中将存在多重稳定状态;其次,低碳创新网络中搭便车行为羊群效应大小受合作创新成本与收益、制度惩罚实施力度与概率、双重外部性、专利政策及创新成功率等因素影响;最后,根据博弈结果和数值模拟,对我国低碳创新网络中搭便车行为的防治提供政策建议与理论支持.
Evolution of Free Riding Behavior in Low-carbon Innovation Network Considering Herd Effect:Stochastic Game Analysis Based on Moran Process
Low-carbon innovation is the key driving force and path to achieve the goal of"carbon peak and carbon neutrali-ty",and the low carbon innovation network composed of numerous innovation entities is the main force of low-carbon inno-vation in China.However,the freeriding behavior seriously restricts the stable development of low-carbon innovation net-work.Therefore,based on the theory of herd effect and Moran process,a stochastic game model is constructed to analyze the formation and evolution of free riding behavior in low-carbon innovation networks.The results show that,firstly,when the herd effect is not considered or is low,there is only one stable state in the low-carbon innovation network;when the herd effect is strong,there is multiple stable states in the innovation network;secondly,the degree of herd effect of free-riding behavior in low-carbon innovation networks is influenced by factors such as the cost and benefit of cooperative inno-vation,the implementation strength and probability of institutional penalties,double externalities,patent policies,and in-novation success rates,etc.;finally,based on the game results and numerical simulations,we provide policy suggestions and theoretical support for the prevention of free-riding behavior in low-carbon innovation network.

low-carbon innovationcarbon neutralityherd effectstabilitystochastic game

汪熠杰、吕宛青、张一

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云南财经大学工商管理博士后流动站 云南 昆明 650500

云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院

四川大学商学院 四川 成都 610064

低碳创新 碳中和 羊群效应 稳定性 随机博弈

国家自然科学基金云南省教育厅科学研究基金西藏教育厅科学研究基金云南财经大学科学研究基金

716630612022Y091xzjykt52100180059900421

2024

华侨大学学报(哲学社会科学版)
华侨大学

华侨大学学报(哲学社会科学版)

CHSSCD
影响因子:1.024
ISSN:1006-1398
年,卷(期):2024.(1)
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