首页|数字经济赋能新质生产力的实证研究——基于双重机器学习的因果推断

数字经济赋能新质生产力的实证研究——基于双重机器学习的因果推断

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文章基于2012-2022年中国30个省、自治区、直辖市面板数据,使用双重机器学习模型,考察了数字经济对新质生产力发展的作用效应及机制.基准回归结果显示,数字经济有效地促进了新质生产力的发展,这一发现在连续的稳健性检验中均得到了支持.研究还显示,数字经济对新质生产力的正面影响在各地区呈现不同的异质性,其中,东部影响效应显著,中西部地区不显著.作用机制检验结果表明,数字经济通过促进科技创新和缓解资源错配,促进新质生产力水平显著提升.
Empirical Study on the Empowerment of the New Quality of Productive Forces by the Digital Economy——Based on Dual Machine Learning for Causal Inference
Based on the panel data of 30 Chinese provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government from 2012 to 2022,the article examines the effects and mechanisms of the digital economy on the de-velopment of new quality productivity through the use of a dual machine learning model.The benchmark regression results confirm that the digital economy has a significant promotion effect on the development of new quality productivity,and the conclusion passes a series of robustness tests.The results of the heterogeneity study show that there is regional heter-ogeneity in the impact of digital economy construction on new quality productivity,in which the impact effect is significant in the east,while it is not significant in the central and western regions.The results of the mechanism of action test show that the digital economy promotes the level of new quality productivity significantly by promoting technological innovation and alleviating resource mismatch.

digital economynew quality productivitytechnological innovationcapital mismatchlabor mismatchdual machine learning

雷思友、丁琰

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安徽理工大学 经济与管理学院,安徽 淮南 232001

数字经济 新质生产力 科技创新 资本错配 劳动力错配 双重机器学习

2024

淮南师范学院学报
淮南师范学院

淮南师范学院学报

影响因子:0.282
ISSN:1009-9530
年,卷(期):2024.26(6)